After the weekend polls showing Labour support down an ICM survey for The Guardian will disappoint CCHQ. The Tory lead is down to 10%. It was 13% at the end of March. 7am on Tuesday 21st April Whereas the headline voting intention figure appears to suggest a drop in Conservative support, there is better news […]
BPIX is related to YouGov so the changes are compared to the most recent YouGov poll. Less than an hour ago I reported a Sunday Telegraph survey with the Tories 17% ahead. 8.30am on Sunday 19th April We now have more details of the BPIX poll: David Cameron wipes the floor with Gordon Brown on […]
An opinion poll for The Sunday Telegraph puts the Tories 17% ahead. That's an increased lead of 4% and would give the Conservatives a parliamentary majority of 114 according to UK Polling Report's Swing Calculator. The poll is by a new entity called Marketing Sciences Ltd. I understand that it is a sister company to […]
The latest Populus poll for The Times puts the parties on the following percentages: These figures would compute into a Conservative majority in the House of Commons of 46 seats according to the UK Polling Report Swing Calculator. Populus interviewed a random sample of 1,504 adults between Friday and Sunday. The equivalent poll last month […]
The headline numbers point to a Conservative majority of 122 but it will be the economic competence numbers that most encourage the Tory leadership: "When asked to put their party allegiance aside and name the party they trusted most to steer Britain through the crisis, 35 per cent opt for the Tory team of David […]
More in The Telegraph.
Con 42%, Lan 30%, LD 18%. More in The Guardian. More later. 11pm: The graphic you’ve all been waiting for…
The above graph features in today’s Financial Times, illustrating an analysis of recent opinion polls and how the parties are faring among voters from the different socio-economic groups. All recent opinion polls point to the Conservatives winning a working majority in the Commons at the next election, but this report suggests that there is one […]
Sky News reports that the latest Ipsos Mori Political Monitor poll gives the Conservatives a 20-point lead over Labour. The poll was carried out by telephone between 13-15 February among 1,001 British adults and comparisons are with the January Politcal Monitor. According to UK Polling Report’s swing calculator, this would give David Cameron a majority […]
A YouGov poll for The Sunday Times – like ComRes’ survey for The Independent on Sunday – both point to a Tory majority of over 70 but they have very different numbers for Labour and the Liberal Democrats. YouGov show a 18% Labour-over-LibDem lead (32% to 14%) but ComRes find only a 3% lead (25% […]
ComRes appears to confirm the uptick in LibDem support already suggested by ICM and Populus. It must be panic stations again in Labour HQ with the party’s poll rating down to 25% in this latest poll and 28.6% in the ConHome Poll of Polls (the lowest since last September). In The Telegraph Andrew Porter and […]
New Populus poll for The Times confirms the sharp decline in Labour support: Worryingly the poll also finds an increase in support for fringe parties: "The Scottish Nationalists, the Greens, the UK Independence Party and the British National Party, have also gained 3 points to 12 per cent." Something to keep an eye on. Tim […]
It’s just one poll but the two notable things about an ICM survey for tomorrow’s Sunday Telegraph are… A 6% increase in LibDem support. Let’s see if other polls find the same movement before getting in any way excited about it. I can’t think of why it would be justified. Labour at 28% is back […]
It’s a Channel 4 poll and Peter Kellner offers a full analysis here. The key finding is that Cameron is much more trusted to look after the future. Brown’s diminishing advantage refers to the current crisis. As time passes – all other things being equal – the Tory advantage should grow. I wonder if the […]
The latest YouGov opinion poll for tomorrow’s Daily Telegraph shows a Conservative lead of 11%. The figures are: The most recent YouGov poll (for the Sunday Times) put the Tory lead at 13%, whilst the equivalent YouGov survey for the Daily Telegraph last month put it at 7%.