Its poll rating is 40 per cent or so, the economy is growing, and an election isn’t due until 2022. A sense of perspective is essential – for all the Government’s weaknesses.
The allegations are dreadful, and must be dealt with, but the grim truth is that few people will be surprised by them.
The Conservatives’ best chance of a majority is by winning over working class voters – who overwhelmingly and strongly oppose this daft policy.
Plus: Economics is not enough, two lots of protesters (one in first class travel), and keeping fit at Party Conference.
Most Labour voters think their party should support strike action if pay demands are not met, and most voters think private sector wages are higher.
“The low point of the Conservative campaign has followed the manifesto launch,” we wrote. “The social care policy tanked, and Tory poll ratings fell with it.”
Despite the lazy stereotypes, there’s a striking amount of common ground across partisan and referendum divides.
Most people would resent any payments after we cease being members.
YouGov characterises those people who think democracy is more important than money as “extremists”.
It is believed that the Conservatives will again have a poor campaign, and that voters will punish them further on economic grounds. I believe this is heuristics, not thorough analysis.
There are many seats in London that are also C1/C2 heavy: it is just that they are outer London seats.
Indicating higher taxes, pledging potentially massive costs on retired people and raiding middle class welfare all played in the election result.
Plus: An apology on behalf of the pundits, the press, the pollsters, the politicians and the parties for calling this election utterly, totally and completely wrong.
If turnout matches 2015 it would be 78; if it matches the EU referendum just 52; or if everyone votes as they say they will, it climbs to 96.
Coalitions are the new normal…”banging on about Europe” is inherently unpopular…no-one will ever listen to the polls again.