Those voters who abandoned Labour in May could be lost to them for the long term
Lord Ashcroft’s polling gives some insight into how sticky the defectors might be. It isn’t pretty reading for their new leader.
Lord Ashcroft’s polling gives some insight into how sticky the defectors might be. It isn’t pretty reading for their new leader.
If, five years ago, Labour misunderstood what it needed to do to win, today it seems to be wondering whether winning is all it’s cracked up to be.
My new book collects the reports from my focus groups and explores what the public really thought of the election (when they thought about it at all).
The view of London members may be sharply different from those based elsewhere. But it is hard to argue that this finding isn’t promising for the Richmond Park MP.
Plus: ComRes – waving. Harris-Quinney – drowning. Bring on Zac Goldsmith. Welcome, Paul Abbott. Jeremy Corbyn, my part in his rise. And: I will miss Charles Kennedy.
Pollsters should have had follow-up questions to UKIP and Green supporters to assess their likelihood of switching to their preferred main party choice.
We think they’re mistaken. They simply think we’re evil. And their error may have contributed to the failure of the polls.
Plus: All praise, Lynton Crosby! Breibart – falling apart? The Daily Mail: Chappers out, Shippers back?
There’s no case for barring opinion polls in the run-up to an election – and, with them, our very own Seer of Seers and Prognosticator of Prognosticators…
A period of silence from the pollsters would be welcome. And maybe we should consider a period of poll-purdah before a national vote.
The Conservative Party has an unexpected opportunity to prove it is the party for people who are optimistic, open-minded and self-reliant.
Poor results in London for the Conservatives and good results elsewhere were foreshadowed.
I have polled 12,000 people on the values and motivations which underlie their voting.
The last ten surveys contain mixed news for all parties and some noteworthy results.
The final result probably won’t differ much from what we expected a month ago. But even small differences matter.