Red Swan…or Tory landslide…or…

All in all, a Conservative win is still the most likely result.  But if the YouGov MRP, the Ashcroft dashboard and other polls are accurate, it is less likely than it was.

Ben Roback: Trump should be seen but not heard

The visit has the potential to be an electoral gift to an increasingly desperate Labour Party. For Downing Street, a successful trip by the President will be one that causes as few political headlines as possible.