Jobs, wages – and stubbornly buoyant Conservative poll ratings

Wages are growing at their fastest rate for ten years, and employment is at a near-record high. But qualifications are necessary…

Lord Ashcroft: The Two Divides – Austerity, Brexit and the problem of building a winning coalition

When we asked people what mattered most to themselves and their families Brexit dropped to third place, with the cost of living at the top of the list.

Lord Ashcroft: What my poll of six thousand voters tells us Americans think about Trump

I suspect his opponents will make little progress as they continue to talk about conduct while his electoral coalition is more interested in delivery.

James Frayne: The voters most enthusiastic about state action on childhood obesity are…Conservative ones

So new research suggests. Private businesses must take at least as much responsibility for this state of affairs as Tory politicians.

How Chequers seems to have bled the Conservative vote

The Tories have been ahead only once since the summit, though the shift away from them has flattened out.

YouGov once again echoes the ConHome panel on May and Tory leadership

Polling Conservative members is a tricky business, but these mutually reinforcing findings suggests our free, monthly survey is up to the task.

Chloe Westley: There must be no compromise on ending free movement

Implementing a fair and controlled skills-based immigration system would be a huge win for the Government – and deliver on a key pledge of the Brexit campaign.

James Frayne: A second referendum? The poll data suggests Greening’s idea would be a total disaster for the Conservatives

The British left are somewhat more open to the idea, but the Conservative Party’s members and voters would not wear the proposal

May’s Brexit plan raises UKIP from the dead

And, late in the day, the Prime Minister bows to our advice, and rushes on to Marr, today, to make the case for her new proposals.

Chloe Westley: You think the LibDems were punished over tuition fees? That’s nothing compared to the fate that now stalks the Tories over Brexit.

They risk a reputation of betraying the largest vote in British history.

Gove floats scrapping HS2 because he believes it to be a policy with a growing appeal

A by-product of people preparing for a leadership race is a search for new and popular policies.

Lord Ashcroft: My latest polling explores the tensions and controversies around the union and Northern Ireland’s border

Crucially, opinion is not just divided between Leave and Remain, but between the Province and the mainland.

James Frayne: England and Englishness, the powerful conundrum

New polling shows that national identity is a strong, emotive force – but also that it remains poorly-defined.

Britain and abortion. Women are more likely to support new restrictions.

It’s a counter-intuitive take – but it’s what the sum of opinion polling in recent years tends to suggest.

Henry Hill: New polls find no surge in support for Northern Ireland leaving the UK

Also: Davidson calls for ’emotion bonds’ of the Union to be strengthened; SNP face tough choices on independence ‘summer offensive’; and more.