Iain Dale: Were it not for Churchill, McDonnell might be speaking German. And so could the rest of us.

Plus: Up, up and away – HS2’s costs. Staying down – LibDem poll ratings. Stuck where they are – Labour’s.

Anand Menon and Alan Wager: The risk of Brexit splitting the Conservatives is real

The unique nature of divisions over it could overwhelm the Party’s traditional pragmatic instinct for office.

Steve Double: May has misread the mood of the country over free movement. Now is the time to drop hostile rhetoric.

There is a now a window of opportunity for a better, more sensible and cross-party debate than the one we had in the referendum campaign.

Tim Bale: Johnson and Rees-Mogg are still in with a shout in the race to succeed May

New polling also reveals that neither is so far ahead as to be unstoppable, however.

Testing our survey against the latest polling of Party members. New evidence on Next Tory Leader.

Johnson has topped an ESRC poll, as he did our last survey. Its findings are even better for Brexiteers than ours were.

Lord Ashcroft: My new Brexit poll. People are tipping further away from the Prime Minister’s deal.

Meanwhile, there is little common ground in which to find a solution which would satisfy many Remainers and Leavers simultaneously.

James Frayne: Five factors which give May a chance of moving public opinion in her favour

She certainly starts from a difficult place. But all is not completely lost.

May v Stuart. Now that would be a proper Brexit TV debate.

It would be a good match. Former Remainer v the former Chair of Vote Leave. No gender war element, either. How about it, Downing Street?

B.O.Bs v P.A.Ms

It’s the Bored of Brexits versus People against May, as she seeks to snoreathon her way to victory – by persuading MPs that voters have simply had enough.

Lord Ashcroft: My Brexit poll. It’s good for May…but bad for her deal

By a 20-point margin, voters as a whole said MPs should “vote to reject the agreement even if it is not clear what the outcome would then be”.

Iain Dale: Brady, not only keeper of the letters, but a dark horse leadership candidate

Plus: Cox, another possible. Plus 15 names in total. Women for May. And: I will make sure the Treasury backtracks on the loan charge scandal.

Jobs, wages – and stubbornly buoyant Conservative poll ratings

Wages are growing at their fastest rate for ten years, and employment is at a near-record high. But qualifications are necessary…

Lord Ashcroft: The Two Divides – Austerity, Brexit and the problem of building a winning coalition

When we asked people what mattered most to themselves and their families Brexit dropped to third place, with the cost of living at the top of the list.

Lord Ashcroft: What my poll of six thousand voters tells us Americans think about Trump

I suspect his opponents will make little progress as they continue to talk about conduct while his electoral coalition is more interested in delivery.

James Frayne: The voters most enthusiastic about state action on childhood obesity are…Conservative ones

So new research suggests. Private businesses must take at least as much responsibility for this state of affairs as Tory politicians.