Together with my weekly focus groups, it will help to explain the dynamics of the campaign and the factors that will determine the outcome.
Posts Tagged: Opinion Polls
Our answer is: a steady lead and a late wobble – to help get the vote out. He begins the second week on course.
The second piece in our series this week about what the Conservative Manifesto should look like.
Lord Ashcroft: With a year to go, my latest research looks at Trump’s chances of getting a second term
A portion of his 2016 voters are unimpressed and wavering – but the President’s fate is not settled. Particularly as the Democrats are yet to agree a candidate.
The Lib Dems did well in the European elections and are riding high in the opinion polls, but how much of an electoral threat are they to Conservative MPs?
Overall, most English voters would rather keep the Union together if it were up to them.
James Frayne: Voters would welcome a Brexit deal. But it might harm and not help the Conservatives with working class voters.
Would they actually think that, now Brexit’s done and immigration back under control, that they can return to their natural home in the Labour Party?
Daniel Hannan: Why are MPs and commentators fainting like Victorian matrons over the use of the word “humbug”?
The constant mistake of the pro-Brussels Establishment has been to assume that voters – especially Leave voters – are thick.
It sets the scene as the Conservative Conference opens by showing what the voters themselves make of the unfolding drama.
Plus: We Conservatives have a chance to unite, but don’t take an election win for granted. And: the radicalism of Gavin Williamson.
Do voters distrust Johnson on the healthcare? Sure. But Labour is no longer seen as “the party of the NHS”, either.
The latter’s NHS myth is fading as time passes, and younger people bring their consumer viewpoint to their use of public services.
Iain Dale: Were the Prime Minister to pull the plug on HS2, would he call time on Heathrow expansion too?
Plus: I* which I ru* i*to a few a**oyi*g problems fili*g this colum* from my *orfolk retreat.
Patrick Spencer: What the new Government should do to ensure migrants are better skilled – and supported
The Centre for Social Justice (CSJ) is today releasing a report that brings a level-headedness to the debate that is sorely needed.
Today’s polls reveal some interesting things about the early days of Johnson’s premiership – and hint at the battles to come.
Lessons endure from my polling study of our new Prime Minister, carried out six years ago when he was London’s Mayor.