Patrick Spencer: What the new Government should do to ensure migrants are better skilled – and supported

The Centre for Social Justice (CSJ) is today releasing a report that brings a level-headedness to the debate that is sorely needed.

The Boris bounce: where are the votes coming from, and where might more be available?

Today’s polls reveal some interesting things about the early days of Johnson’s premiership – and hint at the battles to come.

Lord Ashcroft: Will voters still give Johnson the benefit of the doubt? We’re about to find out.

Lessons endure from my polling study of our new Prime Minister, carried out six years ago when he was London’s Mayor.

ConHome and the contest. Our eve-of-ballot survey had the winner’s total to within a point.

It found Johnson on 67 per cent, Hunt on 29 per cent and “Other” on four per cent. Our next two surveys were closer to a YouGov poll.

Our survey. Next Tory Leader. Johnson 72 per cent, Hunt 28 per cent. 72 per cent overall have voted. On these figures, Johnson has already won.

If the survey is accurate, it would be reasonable to assume, on the evidence available, that he will gain between 67 per cent and 71 per cent of the vote. 

Lord Ashcroft: What my latest poll of more than eight thousand people says about Hunt and Johnson

It shows in detail what people make of the two candidates vying to be their next Prime Minister – particularly their appeal to voters who are not already Tories.

Who should Conservative members vote for in the leadership election? What matters most for Party and country is delivering Brexit.

Our pre-Commons stage take was that Johnson is best placed to do so on time. As ballot papers are returned, we stick by that judgement.

YouGov’s poll. Last week, it suggested that Johnson would fare better in a general election than Hunt. Now, his lead has been reversed.

A week ago, we reported that, were Brexit delivered, Johnson would perform better in such an election. Hunt has now overhauled him on the same measure.

Tim Bonner: The next Conservative leader shouldn’t take the rural vote for granted

If he is looking for a legacy beyond Brexit, then ‘rural proofing’ all government policy would be a good place to start.

Meanwhile, the Conservative poll rating is at under a quarter of the vote

The evidence suggests that what would most improve this terminal score is delivering Brexit – not a new leader.

James Frayne: Lessons we are learning during this leadership contest

The traditional media environment for Conservatives has deteriorated significantly, while social media encourages egomaniacs and the loudmouths.

The identity of the new Prime Minister makes a difference to the polls. But Brexit is a far more dominant factor.

New polling from YouGov shows that leaving the EU is an electoral imperative for the Tories.

The poll which should give those backing a 2050 zero emissions pledge pause for thought

Sky Data’s numbers suggest that there is no public agreement on how to bear the large costs of the proposal.

James Frayne: What polling about Johnson tells us

MPs and activists should be asking themselves a big question: what is it that made him popular in the first place?

Lord Ashcroft: Candidates should listen to the voters’ backstory, not try to sell their own

The most successful are those who can put their values to work and build a broad coalition, rather than exploit divisions.