For both Brexiteers and the EU, Brexit is a constitutional issue, from which economic consequences flow, rather than the other way around.
Posts Tagged: Open Europe
At stake here is whether Britain ultimately repatriates meaningful economy policy, or remains only ever one small step away from EU re-entry.
Open Europe’s new report offers a clear-eyed assessment of the practical and political hurdles the Prime Minister may face.
The Irish Government have failed to grasp the extent to which unionist concerns would be listened in London.
A No Deal Brexit. “It’s not going to be the end of the world. But it’s not going to be a walk in the park either.”
Since the Government believes the Yellowhammer leak details are out of date, it should publish an up-to-date assessment as soon as possible.
Henry Newman: There is a path for the new Prime Minister that leads to Brexit. But it’s very narrow – and must be taken at once.
There are four possible approaches he could take on Brexit. Not all of them lead to success.
Henry Newman: The Alternative Arrangements Commission offers the best route through the backstop problem
There are real, viable answers to this sticky problem. But rebuilding trust may be as hard as resolving technical questions.
Gove, Stewart and perhaps others too could see their standing and prospects damaged this afternoon.
Plus a sixth, less formal, question: are they ridiculous?
Henry Newman: The Tory poll collapse is nothing to do with May’s Withdrawal Agreement. MPs should vote for it – and deliver Brexit
A basic problem remains unaltered – that there is no Commons majority for a No Deal Brexit. This point has been well made by Ann Widdecombe.
David Shiels: European Parliamentary elections would pose problems for the main parties. But especially for the Conservatives.
New polling for Open Europe shows that the Tories have special reason to be wary of this consequence of a long extension.
Precisely because it would be a rather unnecessary addition to the current deal, it is hard to argue that the proposal would be a disaster for Brexit.
It would be dangerous for UK business and would leave both Leavers and Remainers dissatisfied. It would leave Britain subject to free movement.
Henry Newman: Beyond Malthouse. Which compromises would be feasible and acceptable to secure a deal?
It is still possible to find a landing zone that would be acceptable for the EU and to Eurosceptics.
Henry Newman and Guglielmo Verdirame: It’s unlikely the backstop will be scrapped. But supplementing it can win what we want.
Even if the Exchange of Letters were viewed as just short of a treaty, it would be far from legally worthless.