The overseas aid and Universal Credit decisions suggest that, for the first time in a while, the cause of fiscal conservatism is gaining the upper hand.
Posts Tagged: Office for Budget Responsibility
Craig Mackinlay: The Government is fooling itself if it thinks it can go down the Net Zero path without electoral damage
We should pause for breath, inject some rational thinking and consider the alternatives before it’s too late.
The second piece in a mini-series on ConHome this week on Net Zero and climate change.
What we need is to promote a higher wage, higher productivity economy. Our economic targets should reflect those aims.
The Budget was, if truly honest, a sign that the Government shuns spending cuts and embraces tax rises – which is ultimately unsustainable.
The Budget should be a big reset moment for post-Brexit, post-Covid Britain. It risks being lost amidst a rush to tax rises.
It will probe whether or or not Sunak can prepare the country for that future – and perhaps succeed Johnson himself, “one fine day”.
We need to have a debate about which taxes are least damaging to economic growth. Over the long term, corporation tax ranks as being one of the worst.
The OBR’s horrid forecasts of an output implosion and soaring unemployment will do nothing to quell Tory resistance to tougher Covid tiers.
Ryan Bourne: Calm down, stay cool – and drop this talk of tax rises. It’s too early to know how everything will settle down.
It’s baffling why think-tanks are taking the OBR assessments as truth, given its prediction record.
Luke Stanley: With rising unemployment, Ministers should look beyond work-related paths out of crime – to families
Research has found that offenders visited in prison by their family were less likely to reoffend within a year of release than those who were not.
Ryan Bourne: The Right’s glory was its mastery of economic policy. Why has it given up even thinking about it?
Precisely what does Johnson think was wrong with the 2010-2018 deficit reduction agenda? Who knows? The Tories don’t have a clear economic story.
After a decade of forward guidance, credit easing and quantitative easing, it was clear even before the Covid-19 crisis that monetary policy had run out of road.
WATCH: Post-financial crisis style austerity “is not a done deal” – chairman of the Office of Budget Responsibility
“We’re certainly going to see temporarily a considerably higher amount of government borrowing”, says Robert Chote.
If, that is, interest rates carry on at rock bottom rates. But we have to take a chance on growing our way out of this crisis.
Andy Street: Our West Midlands recovery plan – and why no one-size-fits-all Whitehall scheme would work
Here, the recovery of our automotive and construction sectors is crucial – firms in the region directly employ around 46,500 people.