Our final Next Tory Leader survey. Johnson 73 per cent, Hunt 27 per cent, say those members who have voted.

But because the ballot has been spread out over several weeks, earlier surveys may be a better guide to Tuesday’s result.

John Penrose: The conventional wisdom is wrong. Hunt’s spending plans are neither unaffordable nor irresponsible.

Hammond and the Institute for Fiscal Studies are simply mistaken to suggest otherwise. It’s not as though we’re still living in 2010.

Elena Bunbury and Ali Fazel: Why we’ve switched to Hunt

As liberal Tories, we initially leant towards supporting Johnson. But the campaign has changed our minds.

Iain Mansfield: Brexit by October 31. Stop using the Left’s language. And stand for skilled workers. Essentials for our next Prime Minister.

Which candidate can devise and push through the policies needed to unite the Tory shires with the Leave voters of the north?

Hunt is cooler under fire during the Neil grillings. But how much difference will they really make?

The veteran broadcaster put Johnson under severe pressure…but it’s very late in the day in the contest.

WATCH: The Andrew Neil Conservative leadership interviews – Johnson and Hunt

Both candidates were grilled for half an hour each by the This Week and Politics Live presenter.

33 per cent? 45 per cent? 71 per cent? What’s the true leadership election turnout?

The truth matters a lot to how the race shapes up. And there are widely differing estimates.

Boris Johnson answers ConservativeHome readers’ questions

The former Foreign Secretary and London Mayor runs the gauntlet. We revive our readers’ interviews.

Jeremy Hunt answers ConservativeHome readers’ questions

We revive our readers interviews, and the Foreign Secretary fields questions on policy, politics and personality.

Our survey. Next Tory Leader. Johnson 72 per cent, Hunt 28 per cent. 72 per cent overall have voted. On these figures, Johnson has already won.

If the survey is accurate, it would be reasonable to assume, on the evidence available, that he will gain between 67 per cent and 71 per cent of the vote. 

71 per cent of Johnson supporters and 58 per cent of Hunt supporters have already voted, according to our survey.

All of which supports the view that a clear majority of Party members have already returned their ballot papers.

Lord Ashcroft: My choice for the next Prime Minister

Who will get Brexit done? Who is best placed to defeat Corbyn at the next election? And who would do the best job of leading a government?

Hit hard, Hunt

It is precisely his underdog status that should free him, during this evening’s TV debate, to bite a bit as well as bark.

Lord Ashcroft: What my latest poll of more than eight thousand people says about Hunt and Johnson

It shows in detail what people make of the two candidates vying to be their next Prime Minister – particularly their appeal to voters who are not already Tories.

Mark Harper: If the Conservative Party is not the party of sound money, then what on earth are we for?

Between them, the two remaining candidates have already clocked up tax and spending promises of around £51 billion per year.