EU federalism will be stronger in Britain, as rules are simply imposed on you. And stronger in the rest of Europe – because you’re leaving us.
By seeing off Le Pen and electing the most ideologically pro-EU president since Giscard d’Estaing, France has changed the game.
Was your vote in the EU referendum a vote for yourself, your family, your neighbourhood, your country, Europe, or the world? For the short-term or the long?
Perhaps the reason why the Conservatives are marginalising them is that the former are shaping an electoral coalition big enough to include Leavers and Remainers.
It remains highly likely that Emmanuel Macron will beat Marine Le Pen. But France’s growing euroscepticism should not be ignored.
The established parties have lost their grip on this contest, but their hold on other parts of the country’s system remains strong.
Marine Le Pen is offering a socialist programme.
Will the UK get a deal? Much depends on whether other European governments or the EU Commission take charge on the other side of the table.
With growing problems at home, many member states are at odds with the Commission’s punitive line on Brexit.
He is a talented populist and looks set to do well in next week’s Dutch election. The question is what he will do then.
Without that difference, Brexit would not have happened.
He could commit to some tangible metrics – i.e: reducing the tax code in length by 25 per cent by 2019, or pledging to abolish three taxes in each budget.
France’s choice, then: economic (global) liberalism, versus (communitarian) promises of welfarism and border control. Remind you of anything?
The odds against Marine Le Pen have shortened significantly – her economic collectivism is popular.
A fundamental clash between cosmopolitanism and communitarianism is taking place – and it cuts across Left and Right.