All the constituencies that have changed hands.
Posts Tagged: Marginals
Whatever the election result, the 2019 intake of Conservative MPs will be overwhelmingly drawn from this list
There are 103 candidates contesting either Tory-held seats vacated by their incumbents or Conservative target seats. Good luck to them all.
Lord Ashcroft: “A craven opportunist”; “She’s a bit militant”; “I want it over and done with” – my final round of election focus groups
We visit Bishop Auckland, Warwick and Leamington, and Wimbledon. And ask: which actors would the interviewees cast in ‘Election 2019: The Movie’?
At the last election strong early poll leads seduced them into shifting resources from marginals into far more hostile territory, with disastrous results.
Around two-thirds of the top 100 marginal seats are town constituencies. That presents an opportunity.
Six of the seven constituencies in the new tranche voted Leave in the referendum.
Dagenham and Rainham, Bury South, Cardiff North and Bassetlaw are among the new tranche seeking a Conservative candidate.
Robert Largan and Dr Kieran Mullan will contest the final in the ultra-marginal seat tomorrow. And: Cllr Jack Rankin selected in Warwick and Leamington
Activists were asked to trust in a targeting analysis that proved to be based on flawed data and assumptions that were overturned by the manifesto.
If successful, such a goal could deliver a parliamentary majority of around 150.
By-election rules will apply to selections – including the direct imposition of candidates in non-target seats
The move will make for swift selections, but risks annoying those associations which will lose the power even to pick from a shortlist.
CCHQ is recruiting campaign managers to fight in areas Labour has long taken for granted.
Two are ties, and Labour are ahead in three, though well within the margin of error.
Lord Ashcroft: Only one seat changes hands in my latest Con/Lab marginals polling. Labour pulls ahead in Harrow East
It’s very tight indeed in these constituencies, but Ed Miliband’s party has the edge in these local campaigns on the basis of this evidence.
Lord Ashcroft: Clegg is two points behind Labour in Sheffield Hallam. My latest Lib Dem marginals polling.
The battlegrounds show a mix of results. But UKIP is down across the board.