We visit Bishop Auckland, Warwick and Leamington, and Wimbledon. And ask: which actors would the interviewees cast in ‘Election 2019: The Movie’?
At the last election strong early poll leads seduced them into shifting resources from marginals into far more hostile territory, with disastrous results.
Around two-thirds of the top 100 marginal seats are town constituencies. That presents an opportunity.
Six of the seven constituencies in the new tranche voted Leave in the referendum.
Dagenham and Rainham, Bury South, Cardiff North and Bassetlaw are among the new tranche seeking a Conservative candidate.
Robert Largan and Dr Kieran Mullan will contest the final in the ultra-marginal seat tomorrow. And: Cllr Jack Rankin selected in Warwick and Leamington
Activists were asked to trust in a targeting analysis that proved to be based on flawed data and assumptions that were overturned by the manifesto.
If successful, such a goal could deliver a parliamentary majority of around 150.
The move will make for swift selections, but risks annoying those associations which will lose the power even to pick from a shortlist.
CCHQ is recruiting campaign managers to fight in areas Labour has long taken for granted.
Two are ties, and Labour are ahead in three, though well within the margin of error.
It’s very tight indeed in these constituencies, but Ed Miliband’s party has the edge in these local campaigns on the basis of this evidence.
The battlegrounds show a mix of results. But UKIP is down across the board.
The region, which the Yorkshire Post argues should have its own Minister, is the scene of intense campaigning.
The better national news for the Tories is not spread evenly across the battleground.