Even in Labour’s “second tier” target seats, there’s an average 6.5 per cent swing towards the party. Still, these voters are pretty satisfied with Cameron.
The Conservative Party has a serious problem among ethnic minority voters – but the Baroness doesn’t have the right solutions.
But even Labour voters have their doubts about Miliband’s economic offering. The question is: how much will the economy matter on election day?
Strikingly, Labour’s advantage on the NHS precisely mirrors its deficit on the deficit. Which will matter more?
The Employment Minister understands how vulnerable many people are, and that to find work they need help and encouragement, not just rugged individualism.
Yesterday’s Lord Ashcroft poll casts light on its chances of winning Westminster seats – and on where Nigel Farage might stand.
And this week’s column contains a mystery closing message to the Prime Minister.
Both main parties make ground. The poll also studied people’s attitude to and expectations of the economy.
My new weekly poll has come under a good deal of scrutiny. Is it too volatile? How are the two main parties doing? Well, here’s how it works.
One way of thinking about the next election is that it will pit a fear of Ed Miliband against a dislike of the Conservatives.
But Cameron and Osborne continue to outperform their counterparts. In fact, the Prime Minister is the only leader who does better than his party.
Three councillors – Tony Devenish, Anna Firth and Craig Mackinlay – will face the final selection meeting on Friday.
The party leads on empathy, the Conservatives on ability. When it comes to choosing a government next year, which quality will voters value more?
The average across these seats is: Rule Out Conservatives – 63 per cent; Rule out Labour – 75 per cent; Rule out LibDems – 74 per cent.
Also: the first in a series of focus groups, conducted in Thurrock and Halifax. What was the link they made between Nigel Farage and Simon Cowell?