And so it was that the cause of Remain, fronted by Cameron and George Osborne, lost out to that of Leave, led by…Boris Johnson and Michael Gove.
It is only human to grasp at the most comforting explanations that come to hand. But the truth may be harder for Corbynites to swallow.
The latest polls clarify the choice: either Johnson gets it done, or a Corbyn-led government blocks it. A vote for Farage is a vote for the latter.
All in all, a Conservative win is still the most likely result. But if the YouGov MRP, the Ashcroft dashboard and other polls are accurate, it is less likely than it was.
My research suggests that parties of the centre-right should be cautious about mistaking transactional voter support for deeper allegiance.
We visit Bishop Auckland, Warwick and Leamington, and Wimbledon. And ask: which actors would the interviewees cast in ‘Election 2019: The Movie’?
We say again that there is a danger of Conservative expectations getting ahead of the electoral facts.
When forced to choose, people prefer a Boris Johnson government to a Corbyn government by a ten-point margin, down from 12 points last week.
Farage’s decision to stand down some Brexit Party candidates seems to have been the most impactful development of this election week.
What do voters in Richmond Park, Cambridge, and Finchley & Golders Green think about the Prime Minister, the Opposition, and the election?
In the wake of Johnson’s deal, the Government must balance its plan for Northern Ireland with strengthening “our precious Union” – all four parts of it.
The eerie atmosphere at this conference is the calm in a party which wants to come back together.
Never before has so much material been assembled from such a wealth of sources about the Leader of the House.
More broadly, there is a lead for Irish unification of 46 per cent to 45 per cent – a statistical tie.
We should measure the success of our aid programmes by the good we achieve, not simply by the amount of money we spend.