Bradley’s Northern Ireland problem is in the present – not her past

Both the NIO and Number Ten have developed an irrational fear that a majority will soon back Irish unity.

Our survey. Next Tory Leader. Johnson stretches his lead at the top of the table.

Javid retains second place and drifts down slightly. For the moment, these two are only game in town – at least, as far as our panel is concerned.

The Conservative infiltration debate is all the wrong way round

The Party’s main problem isn’t having too many applicant members – it’s having too few present ones.

Iain Dale: Where is the cutting edge to the BBC’s business coverage?

Plus: Norcott and Brandreth triumph at Edinburgh. Turnbull and Dutton circle in Australia. And: Corbyn’s shoddy copy of the Trump playbook.

Garvan Walshe: Gove is setting himself up as Brexit’s Michael Collins

Not in the sense that he will be shot by his own side, but in his calculation that the best approach is to gain “the freedom to win freedom”.

Phillip Lee: Dear Sophie – don’t quit the Conservative Party, stay and fight against Brextremism

The former Justice Minister writes an open letter to a young activist, urging her to reconsider her defection to the Liberal Democrats.

Our Survey. Next Tory Leader. Johnson more than triples his score to come top – for the first time since 2016

It’s the Chequers factor – as Gove falls from second to fifth. Javid remains competitive on 19 per cent, coming second this month.

YouGov once again echoes the ConHome panel on May and Tory leadership

Polling Conservative members is a tricky business, but these mutually reinforcing findings suggests our free, monthly survey is up to the task.

Helen Thomas: The missing actor in the Brexit drama is set to move centre-stage – the markets.

The tap, tap, tap of wafer-thin government majorities, unravelling agreements, and shifting poll numbers will make their way into its calculations.

Interview: Stewart Jackson, Davis’ former SpAd, accuses Downing Street of “constitutional impropriety”

He claims that there was a conspiracy by officials in Number Ten’s Europe Unit to water down Brexit.

The Conservative Brexit choice. Seek to park the UK in the EEA under a new Tory leader. Or press on.

If Tory MPs think that No Deal would collapse Brexit altogether, or that it would be unmanageable next March, they need a Plan B. But we stress: if.

This is no time for MPs to vote themselves an early holiday

The Government is in crisis. MPs need to ponder deeply should be done for the best. That means not quitting Westminster this week.

The Moggcast. Could the Tories now split? “I think this is up to the Prime Minister.”

He says it was improper to by-pass Davis’ White Paper version. He doesn’t support Tommy Robinson. And he apologises for confusing Pope Urban IV with Pope Urban VI.

The Moggcast: Episode Twelve, Tuesday 17th July 2018

Might the Tories split? “I think this is up to the Prime Minister,” Jacob Rees-Mogg explains. Why it was improper to bypass Davis’ White Paper. And apologies to Popes Urban IV and Urban VI.

Johnson’s reset moment. He should tour Brexit Britain to defend the referendum result.

Say what you like about him (and many do), the recently-resigned Foreign Secretary is one of the very few Tories with voter cut-through.