There is no evidence from the poll of polls that the Dominic Cummings affair speeded up what has been a steady Tory decline since mid-April.
The art will be to do so in such a way that the NHS can cope with a rise in admissions. And social distancing for the most vulnerable must remain in place.
If employers consider themselves to be heading for catastrophe, it suggests that the wider public will catch up before too long.
The result will probably offer some respite to an industry which has previously come in for a lot of flak from certain quarters for misrepresenting the state of the race.
Amongst the hopefuls, he fares best on account of his competence, his ability to handle Brexit, manage the economy and unite the country.
It’s hard to see how the Conservatives can sustain their electoral position by U-turning on Brexit. Its core vote will surely completely collapse.
Plus: Up, up and away – HS2’s costs. Staying down – LibDem poll ratings. Stuck where they are – Labour’s.
The Tories have been ahead only once since the summit, though the shift away from them has flattened out.
There are clearly questions about what’s happening in relation to voting, membership, and representation — and what the Party should or might want to do.
It can be a proxy for “leadership” – and it offers the chance to further differentiate the party culturally from Labour.
At best, people don’t think about the issue. But as soon as they do, they overwhelmingly support the ban. A vote would have been hugely damaging.
These practical recommendations outline how EU migration could be sharply reduced while preserving access for employers to the best and brightest from across the EU..
The allegations are dreadful, and must be dealt with, but the grim truth is that few people will be surprised by them.
Contrary to what members of the Labour Party say, the evidence demonstrates that the public desire for high taxes on the rich is low.