Not being white remains the number one demographic predictor of not voting Tory.
Posts Tagged: Harrow East
We win elections when we appeal to a broad swathe of voters. The Prime Minister was a popular Mayor in the capital, he must retain his instincts from that time.
The Australian Liberals know who their target voters are. The Conservatives don’t seem to have a clue.
Amidst the gathering leadership election debate, there is a lack of focus on who such voters are and where they live.
The point here is the electoral trade-off between what could plausibly happen in the capital and the provinces – with Corbyn entering Downing Street in consequence.
Syed Kamall: The electoral disaster that will engulf our Party if we don’t boost our ethnic minority support
Once a seat reaches 30 per cent BME population, it goes Labour. In 2010, this applied to 75 seats. By 2022, it could apply to around 120 seats.
John Strafford: This election campaign was a disaster. The Party must be radically reformed to stop it ever happening again.
Activists were directed to seats which there was no chance of us winning. It is quite clear that CCHQ did not have a clue about what was happening.
Both parties hammered the Lib Dems as a clutch of very slender victories gave Labour their point of light on election night.
Priti Patel, Alok Sharma, Shailesh Vara – all have played a part in the big push among Indian-origin voters. It needs more money and support.
In Harrow one of the biggest issues was the Labour council’s £75 “garden tax”.
Labour’s ‘good night’ in the capital wasn’t good enough to put us out of the running for City Hall in 2016… if we get our act together.
He’s making a splash in local media, beneath the radar of Fleet Street. And it looks as though he’ll be unleashed nationally during the closing stages of the campaign.
Lord Ashcroft: Only one seat changes hands in my latest Con/Lab marginals polling. Labour pulls ahead in Harrow East
It’s very tight indeed in these constituencies, but Ed Miliband’s party has the edge in these local campaigns on the basis of this evidence.
Bernard Aryeetey: We name the key marginals in which housing is a vital issue for the Conservatives – and the other parties
St Austell & Newquay, Hampstead & Kilburn, Great Yarmouth…what Shelter found, using Lord Ashcroft’s polling as the basis for our research.
Our fifth battleground summary explores the capital, where Labour and the Conservatives square off whilst trying to squeeze out the Liberal Democrats.