And so it was that the cause of Remain, fronted by Cameron and George Osborne, lost out to that of Leave, led by…Boris Johnson and Michael Gove.
And in 2008, I wrote that non-Tories voting for Johnson would swing the Mayoral election. I hope they swing today’s poll in the same way.
It’s a contest between Sunderland and Newcastle. But even if Labour does badly in early results, how much will that tell us?
In 2017, 51 MPs were returned with majorities of less than a thousand. That’s 51 results potentially determined by an extra hour on the doorstep,
This series turns a spotlight on the Conservative Manifesto and returns to policy announcements that some will have missed.
We say again that there is a danger of Conservative expectations getting ahead of the electoral facts.
In some campaigns, the end result is overwhelmingly likely before a stump has been erected. This is not one of those occasions.
Would they actually think that, now Brexit’s done and immigration back under control, that they can return to their natural home in the Labour Party?
The former Party Chairman and Chief Whip says the only way to save moderate conservatism is to get Brexit through.
Davidson’s successors must not let recognition of her extraordinary achievements to turn into counter-productive myth-making and a counsel of despair.
We must overhaul our Party organisation and develop strong messages for liberally-minded, soft-Conservative voters before the next election.
If the campaign management were outsourced, as recently, who would take it on? And if it weren’t, could CCHQ really cope?
The best way to reach across the divide and attempt to gain the trust of ex-Conservative Remainers, is to accept the inevitable.
We don’t know whether they believe it to be prudent or desirable or both – but the message to the leadership contenders is clear.
Could the Yellow Party take control of Lewes, St Albans, Winchester, Teignbridge, Guildford – even Wokingham?