Our survey. Next Tory leader. Stasis as Johnson carries on leading amidst little expectation of change.

Although the Prime Minister’s position is fragile, there is no sense of a contest in the offing any time soon.

Not yet angry – but patriotic and bewildered. Fear of betrayal is the dominant emotion at the Leave Means Leave rally

Farage urged everyone to prepare for a second referendum, and concluded: “Next time, as far as I’m concerned, it’s no more Mr Nice Guy.”

Decision time for Javid and Hunt?

Neither is at all likely indeed to succeed May if they nod reluctant assent to any scheme to sign up to the Customs Union – which might not succeed in any event.

This rotting Cabinet

The conventional wisdom is: weak Prime Minister, strong Cabinet. But what we see is: weak Prime Minister, weak Cabinet.

Our survey. Next Tory leader. Johnson is top again. Javid second, Raab third. Hunt is now fourth.

There are three contenders in double figures, one well ahead of the other two – and a very long tail of names in single figures,

Robert Halfon: A new, magical Conservative leader with presents for all? Sorry – I don’t believe in Santa Claus.

Plus: Bad Tory language. Cutting VAT, Good Conservative news for workers. And: a second referendum – not a People’s Vote but a Cheater’s Vote.

May says Brexit will happen on time. Gove says that it may not happen at all. Which is it?

They can’t both be right – at least, not if an administration headed by the Prime Minister holds office. Could she please clear the matter up?

The Moggcast. “This isn’t about tactical mistakes – this is about the future of the country.”

“Tory MPs need to think…do they want Theresa May leading us into the next election?”. Plus: what she could have done to prevent him writing his letter.

Rudd returns to help sell May’s deal

She didn’t establish herself as a strategic Home Secretary, but is a highly effective media performer.

Rolling list of Government resignations today

They are now coming so fast as to necessitate this list, which will be updated as the day continues.

“We have gone from no deal is better than a bad deal, to any deal is better than no deal.” McVey’s resignation letter – full text

“I cannot defend this, and I cannot vote for this deal. I could not look my constituents in the eye were I to do that. I therefore have no alternative but to resign…”

McVey is the next domino to fall. She quits. The spotlight switches to Mordaunt.

She had little alternative after calling for a vote on the draft deal in Cabinet yesterday, and being rebuffed by the Prime Minister, the Cabinet Secretary and the Chief Whip.

Changing the Prime Minister, in itself, would solve nothing

A new leader would need a new plan to reverse this evident humiliation of May’s leadership and of British statecraft.

Raab, Cox, Gove, Fox, Mordaunt – all these Cabinet members, and others, should prepare to resign today

They should first seek to persuade May not to press for a decision, since there will have been no opportunity for full timely study of the text.

Raab, Cox, Gove, Fox, Mordaunt – all these Cabinet members, and others, should resign tomorrow if necessary.

They mustn’t let Downing Street bounce them into agreeing a 500-plus page deal that they won’t have had time to study properly.