How a Brexit deal would be done

What will happen this week? When could a summit take place? What would the Cabinet say – and what might the Attorney General do?

Our survey. Brexit preferences. One in ten respondents go for Norway to Canada. Almost half want Canada Plus Plus Plus.

Meanwhile, almost a third of replies support a trade-off over a longer transition and the backstop. Two-thirds oppose any transition extension.

WATCH: Rees-Mogg – Treasury has ‘egg on its face’ over Brexit predictions

The leader of the European Research Group explains to Ridge why he thinks this ‘bastion of Remoanerism’ is still ‘grumpy’ about the result.

Hammond has one task only in next week’s Budget. To show that the Government is preparing for No Deal.

The Chancellor’s recent claims of a coming “Deal Dividend” sent the wrong message at the wrong time – and showed up a deep Treasury malaise.

May on the fence

Media focus is on the DUP. But we can’t help suspecting that near the heart of policy is a preoccupation with those just-in-time supply chains.

Howard Flight: If the Conservatives can’t kill off Corbyn, let’s hire a PR agency to do it.

The Prime Minister will be under pressure to stand down if she doesn’t junk Chequers.

Jason Reed: The DUP’s threats are in vain. May doesn’t need them any more.

Her ability to pass any Brexit bill through the Commons will depend more on the mood in the two main parties than the Northern Irish vote.

Peter Lilley: The Prime Minister – a modern-day Queen Canute

Contrary to myth, the wise king was demonstrating what was beyond his powers. May has done the same – demonstrating gradually that a Canada Deal or No Deal are the only practicable options.

“Official and significant”. The ERG declares that it will vote against Chequers.

Francois “was chosen specifically to send a signal from one of life’s natural whips to the current ones,” we are told.

Nicky Morgan: Chequers is dead. And the only plan that MPs will now vote for is Norway.

There is no Commons majority for no deal, for a Canada deal mark two, or at the moment for a second referendum. But there is a majority for EFTA/EEA.

Is May pivoting to Canada?

Prepare for a Rule Britannia defence of Chequers at Party Conference…followed by its junking afterwards, as May is forced towards the most practicable alternative presently on offer.

Cheqada

Or: how May could seek to get a deal through the Commons with the support of Soft and Hard Brexiteers alike.

Theresa Villiers: The ERG’s solution to the Irish border opens the door to a wide-ranging free trade agreement

Now we will find out if the EU really is seeking practical progress, or if it is cynically exploiting the issue as a way to seek leverage.

Flying frogs

Pro-Brexit MPs weighed a no-confidence vote in Theresa May yesterday evening. But the essential case against one remains unchanged.

The Moggcast. Burt and Duncan’s “absurd” attacks on Johnson “must have been” approved by Downing Street.

Inside the ERG’s Brexit plans. Why Rees-Mogg doesn’t believe the hype about ‘Blue Wave’ entryism. Plus: how he spent his summer.