It’s too soon to judge how the boundary review will impact the next election – but it’s fun to try

On the old electoral map, equally-sized seats was an unambiguous win for the Conservatives. But 2019 changes the calculation.

Lord Ashcroft: My election model’s probabilities currently suggest a potential Conservative majority of 162

Labour do less well when figures are based on information about who has probably turned out to vote are used. The party’s turnout, then, will be crucial to the result.

Jarrow goes blue! But May loses her seat! Yet it’s a Tory landslide! The amazing 2020 General Election.

We present dismissible projections drawn from last June’s results…and some electoral trends that are not so dismissible.

Lord Ashcroft: Sheffield Hallam, Doncaster North and Thanet South

A review of three polls.