Where the Tories have rallied in Scotland, Labour appear to have done so here. There is a broad range of possible Conservative targets, but only a few anticipated gains.
Former MPs Amanda Solloway and James Davies take another run at their seats as new contenders take up posts across Wales, the West Midlands, and London.
Given that most people don’t really understand what it is or how it works, it’s a field ripe for under- or over-reaction. Or, indeed, both at the same time.
They could even tie with Labour. If they build in their 2015 success (and learn from their 2016 disappointment) more seats are definitely within reach.