Will the UK get a deal? Much depends on whether other European governments or the EU Commission take charge on the other side of the table.
A curious alignment of remainer Unionists and Scottish nationalists was convinced that Brexit would cause the end of the UK. Fortunately, they were wrong.
The Government appears bumbling, directionless and out-of-ideas before Article 50 has even been triggered.
This offers May an historic opportunity.
Lacking tactical coordination or a shared strategic goal, Remainers are suffering for having never had to organise as a faction before the 23rd June.
Most of the latter are used to trying to stop rebellions, not start them.
We will be an ally, not a member, of the United States of Europe.
The logic of her view that no deal is better than a bad one suggests that, like Thatcher at Fontainebleau, she is prepared to walk away if necessary.
Out of the Single Market. Out, in effect, of the Customs Union. A Parliamentary vote – but on May’s terms, not Farron’s.
We will do better outside the EU, the Single Market and the Customs Union.
Quitting it would mean more scope for trade deals and lower prices. Modern countries don’t need such unions to do business.
It should raise some £250 million a year – enough to increase the UK’s borders budget by 50 per cent.
My new study for Civitas sets out a practicable alternative to an agreement at any cost.
The arguments are more finely balanced than in the case of the Single Market, but maintaining the present arrangement would blunt the point of Brexit.
We are keen to gather views from interested parties (such as businesses, industry groups, politicians, academics and others) about what would happen.