These are substantial minorities and confirm that the Prime Minister remains a brooding presence in this contest.
The Foreign Secretary is the winner among Party members of the top three candidates in the Parliamentary ballot if this survey is right. But Sunak has closed the gap on her.
It’s perhaps an unlikely final for Party members but a fascinating snapshot of where the panel finds itself today.
The Foreign Secretary is beaten only by Kemi Badenich and Penny Mordaunt, although Suella Braverman runs her very close.
This result suggests that the Attorney General and former Spartan could flourish in the event of making the final round.
He wins six of our ten possible second-round match-ups, suggesting his candidacy has potential if he can pass the MP stage.
This is a solid middle table score from the former Chancellor. But he will need to do much better in a real final ballot.
On the basis of this finding, he will need to make more of a campaigning impact soon to cut through to Party members.
The Home Office is a legendary graveyard of political ambition, and Patel is less well placed to escape burial than was Theresa May, who won the 2016 contest.
He doesn’t beat any likely candidate of the right in the run-offs – bad news for someone running from the centre.
Shapps has got his campaign off the ground a bit late, and has made little impact on our panel as yet.
As recently, the former Health Secretary trails our latest survey. Is the truth that “the members won’t want to admit they were wrong last time?”
A compilation of all the outcomes of our leadership run-offs from earlier in the week.