Our Tory members’ panel survey. Expectation of a Conservative-led government after the next election drops to a record low.

We register a dizzying fall of 18 per cent since the Chequers Cabinet meeting and the Brexit White Paper.

May’s future. Next Tory Leader. Cabinet League Table. Our monthly survey is out.

All our usual questions as Parliament’s recess begins in our first full survey since the Chequers Cabinet summit and the Brexit White Paper.

YouGov once again echoes the ConHome panel on May and Tory leadership

Polling Conservative members is a tricky business, but these mutually reinforcing findings suggests our free, monthly survey is up to the task.

Our snap survey. Tory member support for May’s Brexit plan falls. Two in three are now opposed to it.

The Prime Minister’s backing has actually gone backwards since she stepped up her efforts to sell her new position.

New snap survey. We asked after the Chequers summit. Now we do so again: what’s your view of May’s new Brexit policy?

An e-mail with a link to the survey should now be in the inboxes of panel members.

Our snap survey. Three in five Party members believe May’s new Brexit plan represents a bad deal for Britain.

And the same proportion don’t support it. This mirrors the Leave/Remain divide which the survey found before the EU referendum.

Javid overtakes Gove to top our Cabinet league table

Meanwhile, Williamson and Johnson’s approval ratings are in the doldrums.

Our survey panel. It’s a record high for the view that the Prime Minister should leave Downing Street before the next election.

Each monthly answer to this question since last June has found that over half the respondents want a new leader in place for the contest due in 2022.

Next Tory Leader run-offs 5): Gove 61 per cent, Hunt 23 per cent

This finding confirms that Gove and Javid are the big beasts of these run-offs. We will bring you their run-off result tomorrow morning.

Next Tory Leader run-offs 4): Javid 59 per cent, Johnson 28 per cent

For whatever reason, the ten per cent of respondents who opted for “neither” is the lowest abstention rate, so to speak, of any finding to date.

Next Tory Leader run-offs 3): Johnson 42 per cent, Hunt 39 per cent

Johnson gets less reward than one might expect for his earlier backing for Leave, and this narrow win underlines the general decline in his ratings.

Next Tory Leader run-offs 2): Javid 62 per cent, Hunt 21 per cent

Javid’s storming of our Next Tory Leader finding will render this result, like Michael Gove’s trouncing of Boris Johnson, no surprise to our readers.

Next Tory Leader run-offs 1): Gove 56 per cent, Johnson 25 per cent.

We open our Michael Gove/Jeremy Hunt/Sajid Javid/Boris Johnson Next Tory Leader run-offs with the one-time Brexiteering joint leadership ticket put head-to-head.

Our Survey. Next Tory Leader. Javid tops the poll for the first time.

Gove is second, “Other” third. It is an astonishing turnaround for a man who three months ago was languishing on a mere two per cent.

Our survey. Seven in ten respondents believe that there will be a Conservative-led government after the next election.

The explanation may have less to do with confidence in the Conservatives than with a lack of confidence in Labour.