Our survey is a snapshot, five years before the event, but this is the starting benchmark: can the Government possibly keep confidence levels this high?
The Chief Secretary to the Treasury wins decisively with over half the vote. Johnny Mercer was the runner up, with more than a quarter.
And by ranking Rayner second, they appear to agree that “Rebecca Long Bailey isn’t even the best Labour leader in her own flat”.
They support raising the threshold by two to one – a useful reminder that the Prime Minister cannot ignore his Party’s base.
He is clearly a winner – and Party members want to keep hold of him now that there is a Tory government in place with a big majority.
The Prime Minister heads a Cabinet whose stock has risen markedly in the wake of this month’s decisive election victory.
The Spartans played a major role in sinking May’s Brexit deal and floating Johnson’s. Baker has thus been a force to be reckoned with.
Almost nine in ten of our panel members say that he has much to do before he can be counted the equal of Margaret Thatcher.
He is one of the few elements of continuity in what has been a turbulent year at the Government’s top table.
Whilst individual ministers rise and fall, overall the Government goes to the polls with a lot of goodwill from grassroots Conservatives.
P.S: “For frantic boast and foolish word – / Thy mercy on Thy People, Lord!”
These findings compare to a 64 per cent total in June, when Theresa May was still Prime Minister, with a leadership election looming.
Not a good month for the Foreign Secretary, who slips from third place to eighth. But this is probably just due to the rising popularity of others.
It is perhaps not surprising that a majority of activists believe, however narrowly, that it makes sense to work with another party that wants to leave the EU.
You don’t really get closer to unanimous than this in our surveys of Conservative Party members.