Almost nine in ten Party members expect a Conservative-led Government after the election. Our survey.

These findings compare to a 64 per cent total in June, when Theresa May was still Prime Minister, with a leadership election looming.

Cabinet League Table: Johnson takes the gold – with Javid in second place

Not a good month for the Foreign Secretary, who slips from third place to eighth. But this is probably just due to the rising popularity of others.

Our survey. Just over half of Party members agree with Trump – and want a Conservative/Brexit Party pact

It is perhaps not surprising that a majority of activists believe, however narrowly, that it makes sense to work with another party that wants to leave the EU.

ConHome snap survey: 90 per cent of Tory members want MPs to vote for the new Brexit deal

You don’t really get closer to unanimous than this in our surveys of Conservative Party members.

Javid keeps the gold but Johnson and Rees-Mogg fail to medal in our Cabinet League Table

Brexiteers retain their stranglehold on the top of the chart, but there is a general downward drift. Is it a foretaste of what might happen if we fail to leave the EU next month?

One in two Party members say: bring back the Law Lords. Our survey.

It is possible that, in the wake of last week’s Supreme Court ruling on prorogation, they are a kind of advance indicator: seven out of ten respondents want change.

Our survey. Last month, four in five Tory activists thought Johnson would hit his Brexit deadline. Now, it’s only half.

The Benn Act and the Supreme Court verdict have clearly had a very substantial impact on expectations.

Javid, Johnson, and Rees-Mogg hold their podium slots in our Cabinet League Table

The data for this was collected before the Government’s string of Commons defeats – next month’s may look rather different.

Almost half of Party members oppose the Withdrawal Agreement – even without the backstop. Our survey.

And some two in five back it. When asked about a time limit on the Northern Ireland backstop rather than abolition, support falls to roughly a third.

Our survey. Nearly eight out of ten Party members believe that Johnson will deliver Brexit by October 31.

And eight in ten back the prorogation decision. As matters stand, Party members are fully behind their leader.

More than 70 per cent of Conservative Party members believe the UK will leave the EU by 31st October

They aren’t just optimistic about Johnson’s electoral prospects, they have faith that he will fulfil his ‘do or die’ pledge.

Javid pips Johnson and Rees-Mogg to the top of the podium in our first Cabinet League Table of the new Government

Meanwhile Ruth Davidson, so often one of the highest-scoring politicians, is at the bottom of the chart after her row with Johnson and strong line against No Deal.

Johnson’s optimism spreads to the grassroots – 58 per cent of Party members expect a Tory majority at the next election

Our survey finds a dramatic change in outlook from a month ago.

ConHome and the contest. Our eve-of-ballot survey had the winner’s total to within a point.

It found Johnson on 67 per cent, Hunt on 29 per cent and “Other” on four per cent. Our next two surveys were closer to a YouGov poll.

Our final Next Tory Leader survey. Johnson 73 per cent, Hunt 27 per cent, say those members who have voted.

But because the ballot has been spread out over several weeks, earlier surveys may be a better guide to Tuesday’s result.