ConservativeHome to bring back its Next Tory Leader survey

We plan to send it out to our panel of party members roughly four times a year rather than monthly as previously.

Our survey. Johnson’s rating for dealing with Covid dips.

But almost two in three respondents believe he’s handling the pandemic well. (Though that’s his lowest proportion since January.)

Two by-elections and one Health Secretary – losses see Johnson fall by 16 points in our Cabinet League Table

Javid comes straight in at fifth place; Williamson’s score is in freefall; and the podium positions are unchanged.

Our survey. Party members overwhelmingly back scrapping ‘all lockdown restrictions’ on July 19.

But with the Prime Minister digging in on testing and isolating in schools, can we be sure this will actually happen?

Hancock’s resignation. It is now open season on every Cabinet Minister who may have broken the Covid rules – in any circumstance.

His exit was coming. But there’s a risk for Johnson of a media ramp, with other Ministers vulnerable to a feeding frenzy.

Hancock’s score falls by over 20 points in our latest Cabinet League Table

The Health Secretary now languishes very near the bottom, while Truss secures her sixth month at the top and Johnson recovers a little.

Our survey. On the environment, Tory members support action but not hysterics about an ’emergency’.

There is a clear majority in favour of policies to cut the UK’s carbon emissions, but apparently limited appetite for radicalism.

Our survey. A majority believes that Cummings was an asset to the Party – but doesn’t regret his departure

Roughly 70 per cent hold both views – a measure of their high view of Cummings’ abilities…and their ultimate loyalty to the Prime Minister.

Our survey. Conservative activists, the Party and their money. Only half want more control.

Perhaps because the EU membership issue is settled, this generation of activists is less noisy and divided than the last.

Our survey. Seven in ten of our panel believe that money raised by activists shouldn’t help fund the leader’s private costs.

We read this less as a slap across the wrist for the Prime Minister than as an uncompromising statement of principle.

One, two, three – and now Truss tops our Cabinet League Table for the fourth time

And Williamson’s negative rating halves in the wake of his intervention in the Batley Mohammed cartoons row.

Our survey. Almost nine in ten Party members expect the Conservatives to lead a government after the next election.

Pride comes before a fall and all that, but the above helps to explain why it’s grim out there for Starmer.

An Easter present for Johnson. His rating for handling Covid is up again – and at its highest since a year ago. Our survey.

Only twice since the pandemic began has it exceeded this rating – and both were at the start of it last year.

ConHome’s survey. Johnson’s rating for handling Covid reaches its highest since last spring.

And the Chancellor’s score survives the Budget relatively intact: his score is down, but there is no sudden collapse.

Our survey. A majority of respondents back Sunak’s Budget. Under one in ten say it was bad.

Fifty eight per cent think was good or very good; 34 per cent a mix of good and bad.