Lord Ashcroft: My election model’s probabilities currently suggest a potential Conservative majority of 162 Labour do less well when figures are based on information about who has probably turned out to vote are used. The party’s turnout, then, will be crucial to the result.
Lord Ashcroft: My new venture – the Ashcroft Model, showing seat-by-seat election prospects It comes with a stipulation of its own. My constituency estimates, to adapt my 2015 mantra, are a probability, not a prediction.
Matt Warman MP comes to the defence of the Jolly Fisherman of Skegness The newly-elected Conservative MP shoots back at PETA’s absurd attempt to retire the seaside icon.
Bernard Aryeetey: We name the key marginals in which housing is a vital issue for the Conservatives – and the other parties St Austell & Newquay, Hampstead & Kilburn, Great Yarmouth…what Shelter found, using Lord Ashcroft’s polling as the basis for our research.
Lord Ashcroft: My latest polling finds UKIP within striking distance of the Conservatives in three seats However, a clear majority of Tory-UKIP switchers said that a Conservative overall majority was their preferred outcome.