Also: Spotlight on the literal handful of MPs providing Stormont’s entire opposition; and Scottish Tories offer a budget deal to the SNP.
Posts Tagged: Alliance Party
The DUP and UUP are struggling adapt to the Province’s changing political circumstances, and the Alliance are the main beneficiaries.
The DUP try to hold their position in the face of pro-Remain pacts whilst Sinn Féin try to unseat their leader and the smaller parties fight to regain Westminster representation.
The second piece in our new mini-series looks at the strange bedfellows and hard choices for unionists, nationalists, Leavers and Remainers alike.
Lord Ashcroft: My Northern Ireland polling. Six out of ten voters there accept the backstop. But only one in five Unionists do so.
More broadly, there is a lead for Irish unification of 46 per cent to 45 per cent – a statistical tie.
Also: Welsh and Scottish Labour throw their weight behind EU referendum re-run after poll drubbing; UUP and Sinn Fein leaders in trouble.
In both countries, the votes of both Labour and especially the Conservatives have been squeezed between the Brexiteers and the separatists.
Ultimately, they may reveal less about Brexit and more about the longer-term trends in Northern Ireland’s political landscape.
David Shiels: By talking up a No Deal Irish border poll, Ministers are playing into Sinn Fein’s hands
The topic is being discussed – including at Cabinet – but that in itself is not convincing evidence that such a major change is imminent.
Also: Pro-UK think-tanks torpedoes SNP’s economic case for independence; Plaid suffers ‘major rift’ as MP savages Wood; and more.
Lord Ashcroft: My latest polling explores the tensions and controversies around the union and Northern Ireland’s border
Crucially, opinion is not just divided between Leave and Remain, but between the Province and the mainland.
Continuing our series on the key contests in each region and nation.
The general election may have put the latest crisis on hold, but the dominance of Stormont’s ‘big two’ will keep causing problems.
The DUP, UUP, and SDLP all have seats they could lose in the right circumstances. Sinn Fein probably don’t.
They’ve fumbled a strong unionist position into a serious setback. Let it at least provoke a long-overdue shake-up in capital-U Unionist thinking.