Conservative Leadership election: who Ministers and backbenchers are supporting.
Source: David Jeffrey’s Blog.
David Jeffrey of Liverpool University has been undertaking some fascinating study in depth of the contest on his blog – which we have quoted several times in the course of our coverage.
So we will this week run a selection of some of his most interesting findings. They and much more can be seen on his blog, which we link to above.
Jeffrey declares at the start that “this information in this is correct as of 17:00, 13/06/2018”.
His study is of declared supporters from before the first ballot – so Esther McVey, Andrea Leadsom, Mark Harper and Matt Hancock are all included in his calculation.
The chart above shows the percentage figures. Obviously, it must be remembered that some candidates won more declared supporters (and votes) than others, and the percentages must be seen in that light.
To us, the most interesting findings relate to candidates with a relatively large number of declared backers, and a small percentage of either backbench or Ministerial supporters.
So, for example, the relatively small proportion of Ministers backing Dominic Raab, and the relatively large one supporting Sajid Javid, both of whom got similar votes in the first round, stand out.
David Jeffrey is on Twitter as @DavidJeffery_.