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Election 1) UK will go to the polls on December 12th as MPs finally back election

Britain will go to the polls on Thursday, Dec 12 after MPs finally answered Boris Johnson’s call to end Parliament’s “stasis” at the fourth time of asking. Jeremy Corbyn caved in to pressure to accept an early election after Tory MPs said he had “run out of excuses” for opposing one. Just 24 hours after the Commons rejected an early election, MPs voted by 438 to 20 in favour of the first December election since 1923. The 25-day election campaign will officially begin next week after Parliament is dissolved. The Prime Minister said it was time for a “new and revitalised” Parliament that was able to deliver Brexit.” – Daily Telegraph

  • Vote will ‘get Brexit done’, says Johnson – The Times
  • Scottish Tories put Sturgeon front and centre – Daily Telegraph
  • Ten crunch seats which could decide it – Daily Mail

>Yesterday:

Election 2) Ten Tory rebels re-admitted but Hammond and Gauke out in the cold

“Boris Johnson has re-admitted ten of the 21 MPs he stripped of the Conservative whip in a move designed to limit the damage the rebels could inflict during the election. Mr Johnson re-instated party grandees and popular former ministers standing down at the next election as well as MPs who had sought to prove their loyalty. However, he has left Philip Hammond, the former chancellor; David Gauke, the former justice secretary; and Rory Stewart, the former international development secretary, out in the cold… The whip was restored to Alistair Burt, Caroline Nokes, Greg Clark, Sir Nicholas Soames, Ed Vaizey, Margot James, Richard Benyon, Stephen Hammond, Steve Brine and Richard Harrington.” – The Times

  • Ex-Chancellor says Johnson is using election to move Tories rightwards – The Guardian

>Yesterday:

Election 3) Path to Tory victory runs through ‘Workington Man’, Party told

“Boris Johnson promised voters a new parliament for Christmas last night as he finally secured a General Election that experts have warned will be unpredictable and decided by the ‘Workington Man.’ A think-tank said the swing seats were populated by older, white, non-graduate male voters living in towns in the North of England with strong rugby league traditions and will be key for Mr Johnson if he is to get the majority he craves… The study by Onward, a Right-leaning think-tank, said today’s swing voter was no longer ‘Worcester Woman’ – seen as a key figure in Tony Blair’s victory in 1997 – but ‘Workington Man’ – named after the town in Cumbria.” – Daily Mail

  • Converting Rugby League towns is key for the Conservatives – The Times
  • Johnson must make off with Labour votes in the North – The Sun

>Today: Ryan Bourne’s column: Thatcher and Cameron made us happier

Election 4) Prime Minister’s allies fear voters will punish him…

“Cabinet ministers have privately admitted that they are nervous about the outcome of the election amid fears of a voter backlash. One minister said that while they accepted the need to go to the country to “take control” there was considerable uncertainty about the result. While they had gone into most other elections thinking all was going to be OK, this time they said they genuinely didn’t know. A senior ally of Boris Johnson also raised concerns that the prime minister could be punished by voters for pushing ahead with a second election in two and a half years.” – The Times

  • Labour claim that he might switch to a safer constituency – Daily Mail
  • Polls point to risk of Johnson suffering May’s election fate – FT
  • On track for victory with 16-point lead over Corbyn – The Sun
  • Johnson and Corbyn to go head-to-head in TV debates – Daily Mail

Election 5) …as Corbyn accused of leading Labour to disaster

Jeremy Corbyn has been accused of leading Labour into a general election in the face of warnings that the party would lose seats “up and down the country.” The Labour leader was on Tuesday night attacked over claims that he had sided with his closest aides over senior shadow cabinet ministers, who had urged him to resist going to the country before Christmas. Allies of Mr Corbyn scotched claims that he had been “cajoled” by his communications director Seumas Milne and Karie Murphy, his former chief of staff, insisting that he had made the decision independently. However, The Telegraph understands that the decision was questioned by Emily Thornberry, the shadow foreign secretary, who warned that many Labour MPs did not support a poll before Christmas.” – Daily Telegraph

  • How the Opposition bowed to the inevitable – FT
  • Over 100 MPs defy Corbyn’s call to back election – Daily Mail

More:

  • Labour leader ‘casts aside fears’ in favour of ‘fun’ campaign – The Times
  • Backbenchers accuse him of chasing ‘brave new socialist dawn’ – Daily Express
  • Can Labour eat into a projected 58-seat Tory majority? – The Guardian
  • Risk for all parties as leaders battle it out – FT

>Yesterday:

Election 6) Liberal Democrats hope to ‘unite the Remain vote’

The LibDems could win as many as 200 seats, according to Chukka Umunna, as it seeks to capitablise on its backing for a general election before Brexit has been completed. It means the party will be able to campaign to revoke article 50 on a clear pro-Remain message in contrast to Labour’s “dithering” over its position on Brexit and whether to back an election. “I would hope we get more than 40 seats at a general election,” said Mr Umunna, who is standing in one of the party’s target London seats of Westminster where the sitting Tory MP Mark Field is standing down… The former Labour MP who is now party’s foreign affairs spokesman, has, however, also talked up the prospect of the party transforming the electoral landscape with a 200 seat gain if it can unite the Remain vote.” – Daily Telegraph

  • Allen to step down from Parliament – The Sun

More:

  • Leave and Remain push tactical voting apps – The Times
  • Tusk urges MPs to make the most of extension – The Sun

>Yesterday:

Election 7) Farage told to concentrate on Labour seats to deliver Brexit

“Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party should abandon plans to target 600 constituencies at the general election and focus on about 20 mostly pro-Leave Labour seats, according to one of its senior MEPs. John Longworth, who represents Yorkshire and the Humber, said that his party should be “sensible” and focus on securing the result that would best further the cause of Brexit. Getting pro-Leave MPs returned to Westminster was the most important thing, he said. Signs of a split within the party over the wisdom of contesting lots of Tory seats will boost Boris Johnson’s electoral hopes. Although the Brexit Party is trailing the Conservatives in the polls, Tory MPs fear that Mr Farage’s group could win enough votes to deny them victory in certain seats.” – The Times

  • Brexit Party ‘plead’ for pact with the Conservatives – The Sun
  • Party’s surprise tactic to ‘hobble’ Labour – Daily Express

Comment:

  • The way to ensure Brexit never happens? Vote Farage – Stephen Glover, Daily Mail

>Today: Alex Hall in Comment: Why the Conservatives shouldn’t enter into an election pact with the Brexit Party

Election 8) Sturgeon vows to put independence at the heart of any deal with Labour

“Nicola Sturgeon will put the SNP’s push for a second independence referendum at the heart of her election campaign. The first minister of Scotland said that her party’s message would be ‘clear, simple and unambiguous – vote SNP to demand independence and secure Scotland’s right to choose’. The Scottish nationalists are confident of picking up a string of seats from both Labour and the Conservatives. At present they have 35 MPs – down from the 56 they picked up at the 2015 general election – their high water mark. If Jeremy Corbyn fails to secure a Labour majority, it is likely he would be forced to ask the SNP for their support in propping up his government.” – Daily Mail

  • Curtice predicts ‘record number’ of minor-party MPs – Daily Express

Sir John Curtice: Only an overall majority will do for Johnson

“But while Mr Johnson’s hopes rest on taking Labour seats, the principal foundation underpinning his lead over Mr Corbyn’s party is not any marked success in winning over Labour votes. Rather it rests on his success in squeezing support for the Brexit Party… Above all, this is a contest that Mr Johnson cannot afford to emerge from without an overall majority. Biggest party in a hung parliament will not do. In that event, Labour will potentially be able to look to the Liberal Democrats and the SNP for support – for they all want to stop Mr Johnson’s Brexit deal in its tracks.” – Daily Mail

  • Twelve reasons this is the hardest-ever poll to predict – Philip Cowley, Daily Mail
  • How the Prime Minister can win a majority – Matthew Goodwin, Daily Telegraph

More:

  • Even Tories think an election is risky, because of Johnson – Rafael Behr, The Guardian
  • What Johnson must do to take votes from Corbyn – James Kirkup, The Times
  • Brexit won’t be enough in ‘rugby league towns’ – James O’Shaughnessy, Times Red Box
  • In what should be the Government’s worst week, Labour faces calamity – Philip Johnston, Daily Telegraph
  • The stakes could not be higher – Dominic Sandbrook, Daily Mail

People’s Vote staff pass vote of no confidence in Rudd

“Remainers are in chaos after staff at the People’s Vote campaign passed a motion of no confidence in chairman Roland Rudd. Staff members passed a motion of no confidence in Mr Rudd by a margin of 40 to three. It comes amid an apparent power struggle in the campaign group for a second Brexit referendum after Mr Rudd moved to oust the head of communications Tom Baldwin and director James McGrory. Mr Rudd is the chair of Open Britain, one of five organisations that are part of People’s Vote. Staff also passed a motion of no confidence in Patrick Heneghan, who Mr Rudd appointed as acting chief executive on Sunday night.” – Daily Express

  • Angry staff ‘make mischief on Twitter’ – The Times

Budget giveaway put Tories in breach of fiscal rules

“Official government borrowing forecasts to be published next week will confirm that the Conservatives are in breach of their fiscal rules shortly before a general election. The Office for Budget Responsibility, the Treasury watchdog, will update its figures on November 7 in a move that will raise questions about the Tory party’s record of prudence. At his September spending round Sajid Javid, the chancellor, claimed his £13.4 billion giveaway would fall within Tory deficit reduction rules, after adjusting for changes to the treatment of student loans. However, the methodological adjustments, which also corrected errors in corporation tax and unfunded public sector pensions, turned out to be larger than expected.” – The Times

  • Chancellor must ensure public borrowing forecasts are published – FT

Hodge fends off deselection attempt

“A veteran Labour MP who accused Jeremy Corbyn of being a racist will stand for the party in the general election after winning a reselection battle. Dame Margaret Hodge, the MP for Barking in east London since 1994, won more than half of local party members’ votes on Monday night. The reselection contest was triggered last month by activists after the party changed its ballot procedures, making it easier for local members to force a contest. There have been other so-called trigger ballots across the country but as it became clear yesterday that an election would be taking place in December Labour announced that no further contests would take place, meaning that activists have failed to deselect a single sitting MP.” – The Times

  • Politics can do without sleazy Vaz – Alice Thomson, The Times

Bercow urged to delay departure again

“The first task for the UK’s next set of MPs could be to choose John Bercow’s successor after the early election forced the Commons to consider suspending Monday’s contest to select the next Speaker. Mr Bercow, who has held the post since 2009, is due to retire tomorrow, with Monday’s Commons business given over to choosing his replacement. Nine candidates have declared their intention to succeed Mr Bercow since he announced his retirement plans last month, and public hustings and intense private jockeying followed. In the Commons yesterday, however, a series of MPs asked Mr Bercow to stay on until parliament was dissolved for the general election, meaning that selecting his replacement would become the first task for the MPs elected in December’s contest.” – The Times

  • Hague predicts new contraints on the Speakership – Daily Express

News in Brief:

  • Why Boris’ election gamble could backfire – Glen O’Hara, CapX
  • A vote for Labour is a vote for anti-Semitism – Stephen Daisley, The Spectator
  • Rudd is right – People’s Vote should be honest – Ben Kelly, Reaction
  • It’s time for the Brexit party to stand aside – Jack Powell, 1828
  • How the Left lost all purpose – James Bloodworth, UnHerd

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