Ministers warn that failure on Brexit may cause riots…

“Senior allies of Boris Johnson have warned that Britain will face civil unrest on the scale of the gilets jaunes protests in France or the riots in Los Angeles if Brexit is frustrated. The prime minister was accused of inciting hatred towards MPs yesterday as the backlash grew against his claim that they must deliver Brexit to be properly safe. A senior cabinet minister told The Times that the country risked a “violent, popular uprising” if a second referendum overturned the result of the first one. Dominic Cummings, Mr Johnson’s most senior adviser, last night risked further inflaming tensions by saying: “We are enjoying this, we are going to leave and we are going to win.”” – The Times

  • Cummings says MPs should ‘not be surprised’ at mounting anger – Daily Telegraph
  • ‘Noisiest MP’ confronts chief of staff over prorogation row – The Times
  • Vile taunts of the ‘kinder, gentler’ Left – Daily Mail


  • Man arrested for attach on Jess Phillips’ office – The Guardian
  • Twitter abuse of MPs has ‘doubled’ since the start of the year – The Times

>Yesterday: Left Watch: The Left uses far worse language about the Tories than Johnson would ever use about the Benn Act

…as Johnson faces ‘Cabinet revolt’ in pursuit of lowering his demands…

“Boris Johnson is facing a Cabinet revolt to lower his Brexit demands and cut a compromise deal with the EU instead. With just three weeks to go until a showdown EU leaders’ summit, fears are growing around the PM’s top table that he is running out of time to win major concessions. Negotiators are deadlocked over a new customs system to replace the Irish backstop, with Brussels branding Mr Johnson’s alternative arrangements proposals as “unworkable”. Senior ministers expect EU power brokers – lead by Germany’s Angela Merkel – to offer the embattled Tory leader a last minute compromise, such as a three year time limit on the backstop.” – The Sun

  • Barclay ‘rushes to Brussels’ to negotiate deal – Daily Express


  • Toxic language about EU citizens getting ‘kicked out’ is scaremongering – Priti Patel MP, The Sun

>Yesterday: Ben Roback in International: Johnson and Trump – digging in and clinging on

…and is told that ‘divisive language’ is hurting chances of one

“Conservative MPs warned Boris Johnson yesterday that his language was harming the chances of getting a Brexit deal through the Commons. In an address to the 1922 committee the prime minister vowed not to be “bullied” into no longer using the phrase “surrender bill”. He faced some hostility from Conservative MPs in the room. Alex Chalk, who the previous day was singled out by the prime minister for his work trying to get a Commons majority for a new Brexit deal, told Mr Johnson that his task was now “a darn sight harder”. The prime minister is understood to have replied that there would be “engagement” with Labour MPs as and when he struck a deal in Brussels.” – The Times

  • Prime Minister unrepentant over ‘surrender’ talk… – FT
  • …and refuses to apologise over remarks on Jo Cox – The Guardian
  • Rachel Johnson criticises her brother’s choice of words – Daily Telegraph
  • Bishops damn MPs’ violent language – The Times

>Today: ToryDiary: In defence of the Prime Minister


Stephen Davies: Blocking Brexit could destroy Conservatism as we know it

“The language used by the PM and other MPs may be calculated but it reflects and derives from feelings that are already present in British society. If that were not the case they would not be using it. The reality is that British society is now divided more deeply and bitterly than at any time since the Home Rule crisis of 1914. It is important to realise the nature of this division. It is not one in society in general. Rather there are two large and increasingly mobilised minorities who believe they are engaged in a struggle about the very nature of the political order. For these people on both sides, Brexit is about much more than ending a trade and political relationship.” – Daily Telegraph

  • In all my years covering Parliament I cannot remember such hatred – Francis Elliott, The Times
  • Where’s the outrage when Brexiteers are demonised? – Sir Robbie Gibb, Daily Mail
  • Could their rhetoric put MPs in prison? – John Kampfner, Times Red Box
  • Johnson is right: getting Brexit done is the best way to heal the rancor – Fraser Nelson, Daily Telegraph
  • Tories must deliver Brexit to regain our trust – Robert Colvile, The Times

>Today: Book Reviews: Cameron’s Blairite apologia shows that he did not understand Eurosceptic passion

Remainers 1) Rudd preparing to stand as ‘unity Prime Minister’

“Amber Rudd is preparing to stand as caretaker Prime Minister if Boris Johnson is toppled by MPs over Brexit, No10 believes. The former Tory Work and Pensions Secretary stunned Westminster two weeks ago when she walked out of the Cabinet and also resigned the party whip. Since then the pro-EU independent Conservative MP has been a leading critic of the PM’s over his negotiating strategy as well as Parliamentary tactics. Boris’s advisers and allies now suspect Ms Rudd is secretly positioning herself as a unifying figure who the Commons could unite under if he loses a no confidence vote next month.” – The Sun

  • Opposition plan to seize control of the Commons again next week – The Guardian


  • Johnson’s folly gives rivals their best chance – Philip Collins, The Times
  • Tory moderates may have to fight to get their party back – Gaby Hinsliff, The Guardian

Remainers 2) Major claims that the Government might use the Privy Council to bypass the Benn Act

Sir John Major said on Thursday evening he feared Boris Johnson’s Government would try to bypass legislation requiring a Brexit extension by using an order of the Privy Council. In a speech critical of the Government, the former prime minister said the move, which could be accomplished without the Queen’s consent, would be a “piece of political chicanery that no one would forgive or forget”. He said: “My fear is that the Government will seek to bypass Statute Law by passing an Order of Council to suspend the Act until after 31 October,” adding that such a move would be “in flagrant defiance” of Parliament and “utterly disrespectful” to the Supreme Court.” – Daily Telegraph

Government prepare rota system to manage both conference and Westminster

“Tory MPs will operate a “shift rota” to attend their party conference and sit in Parliament after the Conservatives were denied a three-day recess for their annual get-together. The Commons voted 289-306 against a motion to hold a recess that would have allowed the Conservative Party Conference to go ahead without Parliament sitting at the same time. The Government now fears opposition MPs will try to ruin the party conference by seizing control of Parliamentary business and attempting to pass new laws that would further frustrate Brexit. If the Speaker allowed them to do so, Tory MPs would have to rush back to Westminster for votes before returning to Manchester, where the conference is being held.” – Daily Telegraph

  • MPs ‘braced for hasty exit’ if truce fails – The Times
  • Commons votes against recess for Conservative Conference – Daily Express

>Yesterday: MPs Etc.: The eight MPs from whom the Conservative whip was removed who voted today against a conference recess

Prime Minister tells Cabinet that they’re on course for election victory

“Boris Johnson told his ministers yesterday that the Tories are on course for election victory. His message came as Jeremy Corbyn finally signalled that he would agree to go to the polls this year. The Prime Minister told his Cabinet that the strategy is to target 50 marginal seats and defend another 50, aiming for a ‘functional majority’ in the House of Commons. He said the slogan for next week’s Conservative conference will be: Get Brexit done. Mr Johnson warned hardline Brexiteers – known as the Spartans – who have refused to vote for a deal that they would not get everything they want, saying: ‘Even the Spartans are going to have to compromise.'” – Daily Mail

  • 50/50 approach dubbed ‘Lemar strategy’ – The Sun

>Today: Iain Dale’s column: Beyond Westminster, Johnson’s stock with the public remains high

Cleverly says Johnson ‘may ignore summons’ to answer questions about friend

“The prime minister could face a three-month jail sentence if he refuses to answer questions on the decision to award public funds to an American friend. The prime minister has been summoned to appear before a London Assembly inquiry to explain why Jennifer Arcuri, 34, accompanied him on three overseas trade missions and received £26,000 of sponsorship during his time as the capital’s mayor. Mr Johnson has denied any impropriety… James Cleverly, the Conservative Party chairman, cast doubt on whether the PM would comply. “When I was on the London Assembly, it was quite common for government ministers to refuse to appear,” he told BBC Radio 4’s Today.” – The Times

  • Polls show the Prime Minister has a women problem – The Times

Truss admits fresh breaches of Saudi export ban

“Liz Truss admitted the UK government had again broken a court ruling that bans arms export licences to Saudi Arabia, sparking fresh criticism from campaigners who say British weapons are being used in the conflict in Yemen. Last week Ms Truss, the international trade secretary, said there had been two “inadvertent” breaches of the court ruling, prompting an urgent investigation to establish whether there had been further infringements, and to enhance blocking procedures. On Thursday, she told MPs there had been yet another breach and warned it was “possible that more cases will come to light”.” – FT

Penning blames CPS for falling prosecutions

“Official figures show the number of trials in magistrates and crown courts is down by a third since 2010 and by ten per cent in just a year to 152,000, prompting warnings that a “broken” criminal justice system is letting offenders “walk free”when overall crime rates are rising. Legal experts and politicians blamed falling detection and prosecution rates as fewer criminals are caught compounded by an over-cautious Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) failing to take cases to court unless they were guaranteed success… Mike Penning, a former Conservative Police Minister, said: “The CPS won’t put offenders in front of the courts unless they are 100 per cent certain they are going to win the case rather than let the judge or magistrate decide. They are ignoring the advice of police.”” – Daily Telegraph

Challenge for Javid as economists ‘wreck’ Government’s fiscal rules

“Just an hour before the Supreme Court ruled Parliament’s prorogation was unlawful on Tuesday, the government received another deep blow. An unassuming monthly statistical press release on the public finances blew apart its strategy for borrowing, taxing and spending. With the revisions to borrowing going much further than expected, Sajid Javid, the chancellor, and the Treasury were left surveying the wreckage of the government’s fiscal rules. After giving the chancellor the benefit of the doubt over meeting the rules at the spending review in early September, economists now think there is no chance the government will meet its commitment to keep borrowing below 2 per cent of national income in 2020-21 or to balance the budget in the medium term.” – FT

  • Tory plans ‘will give £6bn to richest households’ – The Times
  • Johnson to pump an extra £200m into hospitals – The Sun


  • Britain needs a new fiscal and monetary framework – Chris Giles, FT

Corbyn urged to ditch ‘cult’ after falling behind Swinson

Jeremy Corbyn has been urged to “detach himself from the cult” around him and “get in amongst the general population” by Labour MPs as a new poll reveals he is less popular than Jo Swinson. Asked who would make the best Prime Minister, 41 per cent chose Boris Johnson, with 21 per cent favouring the Lib Dem leader and just 18 per cent choosing Mr Corbyn. After announcing a raft of radical policies at this year’s Labour Party Conference, he is currently trailing more than 20 points below Boris Johnson. John Mann, who is set to stand down after 18 years as a Labour MP, said: “This just shows that Jeremy Corbyn’s message is not cutting through.” – Daily Telegraph

  • I despair of my Party throwing a lit match on the tinder of immigration – David Blunkett, Daily Mail
  • Corbyn is a busted flush, and Labour know it – Stephen Pollard, Daily Telegraph

>Yesterday: Henry Hill’s Red, White, and Blue column: Democratic Unionists attack Corbyn for backing IRA as it murdered judges

News in Brief:

  • People are afraid democracy no longer counts – Emily Barley, Reaction
  • Imagine Cameron had won his referendum – Peter Franklin, UnHerd
  • How can you demand democracy, when your cause is to ignore it? – Chris Bullivant, Brexit Central
  • Busting the myths of nationalisation – Matt Gillow, CapX
  • Why try to impeach Trump? – Freddy Gray, The Spectator

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