Downing Street is reportedly planning a ‘people versus parliament’ election campaign…

‘Boris Johnson is preparing for a “people versus parliament” general election campaign as part of plans to stop Remain-supporting MPs from toppling his government. The prime minister will signal his determination today to put the NHS at the centre of any election as he sets out details of a £1.8 billion boost to the health service with a promise of more to come. He will announce a further cash injection when MPs return to parliament next month and another in the run-up to October 31…On a visit today to Lincolnshire, the area that recorded the highest Leave vote in 2016, the prime minister will announce extra money for upgrades for 20 hospitals or NHS trusts in England.’ – The Times

>Today: ToryDiary: Johnson recognises the importance of instinct and feeling in the Brexit argument


…while pro-EU rebels search for ways to avoid one

‘Under the terms of the Fixed-terms Parliament Act, MPs would have 14 days to try to form an alternative government after which Mr Johnson would have significant influence on the timing of a poll. He would likely seek to delay it until November, after which the UK would have left the EU under the terms of Article 50. “Dom [Cummings] has made it very clear that even if Remainers tried to push forward a vote of no confidence in September, there is no mechanism to stop us leaving on October 31,” said a Whitehall official. In response Mr Grieve told the BBC “there are a number of things which the House of Commons can do, including bringing down the government and setting up a new government in its place” — a reference to forming a government of national unity with MPs from several parties. Constitutional experts, however, have pointed out this would depend on Mr Johnson resigning after losing a confidence vote — something Downing Street insiders insist he will not do. Catherine Haddon, a senior fellow at the Institute for Government think-tank, said the prime minister would be “perfectly able, constitutionally” to call an election on a date of his choosing after October 31.’ – FT

  • They hope to make Sedwill obstruct No Deal  – The Times
  • Somehow, Parliament must seize control – The Guardian Leader
  • The EU has misjudged Johnson’s will and Cummings’ capability – Trevor Kavanagh, The Sun
  • They need to communicate better with Brussels – Edward Lucas, The Times
  • Concern grows on the Continent about the impact of failing to reach agreement – The Times
  • Maybe the UK and EU could benefit from commercial mediators’ expertise? – FT
  • French government tries to prevent companies advertising with English words – Daily Mail
  • It’s a failed law that should be scrapped – The Times Leader
  • Germany is re-enacting the UK’s Brexit debate – Wolfgang Munchau, FT
  • The EU reviews fund passporting rules – FT

>Today: Lord Ashcroft on Comment: My new Scotland poll. Yes to Independence takes the lead.

Just-about managing households are vulnerable to a new recession

‘Middle-class families are at risk from the next recession, experts warn. Households trying make ends meet are more vulnerable to a hit to the economy than they were at the time of the previous financial crash, according to the Resolution Foundation think-tank. This is because many on low and middle incomes have no savings left for a rainy day – and no money left over once they’ve paid essential bills. Austerity also means there is less of a benefits safety net for all but the poorest in society, while wages took a long time to recover from the downturn a decade ago. The report warns: “When the next recession hits then – as it surely will – there is every chance that it is particularly damaging for those low-to-middle income households that are already close to the edge.”’ – The Sun

  • Debt is lower, but so are savings – FT
  • May’s energy price cap will reduce bills this week – The Sun
  • 300 jobs lost at Spudulike – Daily Mail
  • Pension industry accused of concealing charges – Daily Mail
  • Stocks drop, Government bonds rally – FT
  • Fall in the pound isn’t as bad as people make out – Roger Bootle, Daily Telegraph
  • Is it really so important to get your kids into Oxbridge? – Emma Duncan, The Times

The race is on to chair the Treasury Select Committee

‘Senior Conservative MPs including Justine Greening, Greg Clark and Steve Baker are in the running to fill the vacancy after Nicky Morgan’s appointment as culture secretary last month. The winner is likely to be a key protagonist in the search for the next governor of the Bank of England, with Boris Johnson’s chosen candidate required to face the committee. Mark Carney, the incumbent governor, is due to depart in January. They will also scrutinise Mr Johnson’s Brexit strategy, monitor the conduct of the country’s biggest banks and seek to protect consumers…Mr Baker, the Eurosceptic former Brexit minister who turned down a role in Mr Johnson’s new government last month, hopes to focus the committee on tax, banks’ treatment of consumers and the future of finance. “I am confident the committee will want to continue Brexit scrutiny and I would be delighted to facilitate that,” Mr Baker, 48, wrote in a letter to MPs. Some backbenchers have predicted that, given the arithmetic of the Commons, candidates who have spoken out against no-deal Brexit are more likely to win. “You’ve got to find a Tory who can get a majority of the non-conservative votes,” one opposition MP said.’ – The Times

  • Greg Clark is hopeful – FT
  • Scrap fiscal drag by restoring the automatic uprating of tax thresholds – Paul Johnson, The Times
  • Business rates are under fire as almost one in six businesses is in arrears – FT
  • Do future generations really need a High Street? – Daily Telegraph
  • Councils bring in £200,000 an hour in parking fines – Daily Express
  • Private parking firms rake in a fortune – Daily Mail
  • The roads where you’re most likely to be fined – The Sun
  • New tax raises cost of dying – Daily Telegraph

A total of 793 illegal migrants have been intercepted crossing the Channel so far this year

‘Nearly 40 migrants have been detained by Border Force in just one day after crossing the English channel. Two groups landed on the Kent coast while another – including young children – were found by police on the Sussex coast on Saturday. So far this year, 793 suspected migrants have been caught by British officials. Several men were spotted on the beach at Dungeness early on Saturday after crossing the Channel in a small boat. Border Force officials intercepted 20 people at various locations around Dungeness after they arrived in the small craft.’ – Daily Mail

Conservatives should stand aside for the Brexit Party, Fox argues

‘The “arrogant” Tories should stand aside and let the Brexit Party win seats in Leave-backing areas rather than the other way around, its leading figures demanded. MEP Claire Fox said she liked the idea of electoral pacts with the Conservatives – but on her party’s terms. She claimed that if it hadn’t been for Nigel Farage’s new movement, Theresa May would still be in Downing Street and Britain would not be leaving the EU. Miss Fox told Sky News: “The first job of the Brexit Party is to make sure Brexit’s delivered and if that involves electoral pacts, that might happen. “Maybe the Tory party might, instead of telling the Brexit Party what to do, make an approach to the Brexit Party and say I’ll tell you what, we’ll stand aside in certain areas. That would be a very positive thing for me, let’s work together for a new kind of politics.”’ – The Sun

  • Farage’s party selects former Labour councillor to stand against Rudd in Hastings – Daily Mail

>Yesterday: WATCH: Could a Tory/Brexit Party pact happen? “Of course it could”, replies Claire Fox

A growing number of Labour MPs are battling their members rather than the Government

‘Labour MPs have been notified over the past few weeks that votes on whether they must face potential deselection will take place in the next few months – starting with shadow cabinet ministers and frontbenchers from September. The timing of the vote could mean several shadow cabinet ministers could address the party conference with their future as Labour MPs in doubt. Some MPs have been notified their “trigger” meetings will take place the week after Labour conference, leading them to cancel plans to attend the event in Brighton in order to spend longer campaigning at home. It is unlikely the process will be completed in time for a snap election in the autumn – or even by May next year. Labour MPs have always been subject to a trigger ballot, but rule changes agreed in September last year make it easier for an open selection to take place. If an MP fails to get endorsements from at least two-thirds of the local member branches and two-thirds of local affiliates, such as trade unions, then a full eight- to 12-week selection process will take place – with candidates allowed to run against the sitting MP.’ – The Guardian

  • Corbyn is a ‘total disaster’, Alan Johnson says – Daily Mail
  • My party is heading for catastrophe, frets Hain – The Times
  • McDonnell claims Javid is not fit for office – The Guardian
  • Noel Gallagher attacks ‘communist’ Labour Party – The Guardian
  • Swinson appears to have changed her tune about Rennard – Daily Mail

Lam accuses Hong Kong protesters of plotting ‘revolution’ and ‘trying to destroy Hong Kong’

‘Hong Kong’s leader has refused to resign in the face of a planned general strike and nine weekends of protests, saying in her first public appearance in weeks that pro-democracy campaigners were revolutionaries trying to destroy the territory. Transport across Hong Kong was severely disrupted this morning as protesters blocked rail stations and forced the suspension of the airport express ahead of a general strike and marches in seven districts. More than 200 flights out of the city were cancelled after Cathay Pacific staff staged a walkout…Flanked by her entire cabinet, Carrie Lam said earlier that it was time for the territory to reject violence by groups that she said were intent on revolution. “They claim they want a revolution and to restore Hong Kong, these actions have far exceeded their original political demands,” she said. “I dare say they are trying to destroy Hong Kong.”’ – The Times

  • The territory is brought to a standstill – The Guardian
  • Priest faces down riot police – Daily Mail
  • American tariffs betray a Cold War mentality – FT Leader
  • Russian submarines feared to be in British waters – Daily Telegraph

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