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Brexit 1) May to tell Commons that last week’s agreement is “contingent on” outcome of whole negotiations…

“Theresa May will insist that “nothing is agreed until everything is agreed” on the terms of Brexit after the Irish government claimed that last week’s preliminary deal is binding. The Prime Minister will say in the House of Commons on Monday that although she is optimistic that a deep and special future deal can be agreed, last week’s agreement is contingent on such an outcome. Mrs May will also face her first meeting with Cabinet ministers as potentially acriminous discussions begin about Britain’s long-term relationship with the EU.” – Daily Telegraph

Brexit 2)…But that a “new sense of optimism” has come to the talks

“Theresa May will tell Parliament there is a “new sense of optimism” in the Brexit talks following Friday’s agreement with the EU over phase one of the negotiations. In a statement to the House of Commons today, she will say she stuck to her principles on Brexit, and that Friday’s deal is “not about hard Brexit or soft Brexit” but consistent to the objectives set out in her Lancaster House speech earlier this year. The agreement involves an expected exit bill of around £39bn, the continuing jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice in certain UK issues until 2027 and and “full alignment” with the EU on issues that affect Northern Ireland.” – Independent

  • Meanwhile, Davis calls the agreement a “statement of intent” – Belfast News Letter
  • And says UK won’t pay divorce bill without a trade deal – The Times
  • His comments have “sparked a war of words with Ireland” – The Sun
  • Irish chief whip says agreement is “binding” — an “agreement in principle” – Guardian
  • Varadkar says “there’s no question of commitment” to the joint report – The Times
  • And that’s it’s “cast iron” – Independent

Comment:

  • It was a “masterful fudge” signalling a lost political battle – Juliet Samuel, Daily Telegraph
  • It was enormous – Wolfgang Münchau, FT
  • And transformative – Leo McKinstry, Daily Mail
  • It’s all about ambiguity – Matthew d’Ancona, Guardian
  • May has kicked the “cannery” down the road – Christopher Booker, Daily Telegraph
  • She should’ve gone for a “no-deal strategy” ages ago – Roger Bootle, Daily Telegraph

Editorial:

  • The Prime Minister has proven herself – The Sun

>Today: ToryDiary: British/Irish stew

>Yesterday: Video: WATCH: Brokenshire – “We were never going to solve the border question in this first phase”

Brexit 3) Duncan Smith: I’m “not jubilant” about May’s draft agreement. But it shows progress

“For months now the EU has been demanding that we make “sufficient progress” in our Brexit negotiations. To Eurocrats this has a specific meaning: Britain getting ever closer to the EU’s position. But as I wrote in last Thursday’s Daily Telegraph, we have also been watching for sufficient progress from them. If they do not demonstrate they are worth negotiating with, or if they try to extract too high a price from us, we can, and should, walk away. I now believe they have shown that progress. The draft agreement reached by Theresa May does not make me jubilant, but nor do I feel betrayed. The EU has budged on several crucial points, and the way is now open to discuss a proper free-trade agreement that the British people voted for.” – Daily Telegraph

Brexit 4) Davis calls for a “Canada-plus plus plus” trade deal

“Britain should sign a “Canada-plus plus plus” trade deal with the European Union after Brexit, David Davis said today. The Exiting the European Union secretary said that he thought a substantive trade deal can be struck within a year. Mr Davis’s backing for a Canada-style deal lays bare the divisions in the Cabinet with other Remain-supporting ministers like Philip Hammond supporting a deal which would leave Britain more aligned with the EU, like Norway. Mr Davis used an interview on the Andrew Marr programme on BBC 1 to set out his vision for the UK outside the European Union a week before the Cabinet holds a formal discussion of the ‘end state’ of the Brexit talks.” – Daily Telegraph

  • Which could mean “swathes of Brussels red tape” – The Times

Editorial:

Comment:

  • It’d be “dreadful” for working people – The Times
  • How about copying Switzerland? – John Mann, Guardian

>Yesterday: Video: WATCH: Davis’s ideal for a Brexit settlement – “Canada plus plus plus”

Brexit 5) Fox: Britain should “lead the way in helping poorer communities through trade”

“I want us to lead the way in helping poorer communities through trade, which is why today I am announcing an additional £18m of UK support from the Department for International Development to help 51 of the world’s poorest countries, boosting the business and economic development that will result in sustained and inclusive growth. Of this, £16m will go to the WTO’s Enhanced Integrated Framework (EIF) programme, and will help the poorest countries make products fit for export, trade more easily across borders and access untapped new markets. A further £2m will go to the WTO’s Standards and Trade Development Facility, which helps developing countries meet international agricultural standards, enabling them to export more.” – Guardian

More Brexit

  • Jones suggests final bill could be £100bn – Independent
  • Pressure on Gove over pharma regulatory divergence – FT
  • Clegg insists EU leaders willing to “bite bullet” on reducing migration to prevent Brexit – Daily Telegraph
  • Will Tory rebels vote with opposition on amendment this week? – Independent
  • Conservatives criticise Royal Mail for deciding not to print Brexit stamps – Daily Express

Brexit 6) Starmer pushes for soft Brexit with “variant” of single market and customs union

“Sir Keir Starmer has piled pressure on the government to negotiate a soft Brexit as he outlined Labour’s vision for Britain to stay in “a customs union and a single market variant”. The shadow Brexit secretary led a co-ordinated Labour frontbench effort to soften the party’s stance on Brexit and put more distance between its position and that of the government. He also left open the question of a second referendum. Sir Keir said that Labour was prepared to continue paying into the EU budget after Brexit, and endorsed “easy movement” of workers to keep the benefits of the single market and customs union. Theresa May has pledged to take the UK out of both.” – The Times

>Yesterday: Video: WATCH: Starmer doesn’t rule out a second referendum

MoD “ready” to ask for full review and a bailout

“The Ministry of Defence is set to request a full defence review and £4 billion of emergency cash to avert deep cuts to the armed forces. It is preparing to ask Theresa May and Mark Sedwill, the national security adviser, if the defence element of a review of security capability can be elevated to a formal strategic defence review early next year, four sources said… Mr Williamson, a former chief whip, will require all his powers of persuasion to convince Mrs May and Philip Hammond of the merits of a new review and extra funding. The defence secretary is trusted by the prime minister but has been embroiled in a war of words with the chancellor. It emerged yesterday that Mrs May had to intervene in a “blazing row” between the two cabinet ministers last week in the Commons.” – The Times

  • As tension between Williamson and Hammond “breaks into open” – FT

Editorial:

  • Defence shouldn’t suffer from an all-consuming focus on Brexit – Daily Telegraph

Comment:

  • This is all about Williamson’s leadership hopes – Matthew Norman, Independent

Zaghari-Ratcliffe trial postponed after Johnson meets Iranian President

“British mother jailed in Iran hailed the “light at the end of the tunnel” on Sunday when a fresh trial was postponed after Boris Johnson met with the country’s president. Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe, a charity worker who is serving a five-year sentence for allegedly plotting to topple the Iranian government, said she could “see some light today” after news of the postponement reached her. She had been scheduled to face additional charges of spreading anti-government propaganda in court on Sunday. But a senior court official told Iran’s Fars news agency that no hearing would be held.” – Daily Telegraph

  • They spoke for over an hour – Daily Telegraph
  • Her husband calls the visit “constructive” – The Times
  • Although “no agreement” was reached – Independent
  • Johnson also “underlined” UK support for nuclear deal – Guardian
  • Meanwhile, he’s criticised for UK trade with Sudan – Guardian

More Government 

  • Work and Pensions committee tells government to hasten banning of pension cold calling – Daily Telegraph
  • Transport minister contends that drink driving is “compounded” by poor rural transport – Daily Telegraph
  • Whitehall report says spending on early years education has fallen substantially – The Times 
  • Government may back change in law to allow straight civil partnerships – The Times 
  • Green’s fate to be decided in days – The Times
  • Anonymous source backs Maltby allegations – The Sun

>Today: Nadhim Zahawi in comment: How one man’s passion for phonics is helping an entire generation

“Far left” campaigners criticised for “trying to exploit” Grenfell disaster

“A Grenfell campaign group which has exaggerated the death toll and been run without the backing of many of the tower’s residents is set to fail in its attempt to win core participant status at the public inquiry into the fire. Justice4Grenfell has suggested there were hundreds of fatalities even though the police say 71 people were killed… Grenfell protests have been joined by the Socialist Workers Party (SWP), which suffered mass defections over the suggested cover-up of sexual assault and rape allegations in 2010. At a memorial march for the bereaved through Notting Hill last month there were 30 professionally printed red SWP placards with the slogan “Tories have blood on their hands. Justice for Grenfell” and the party’s web address. Those attending another protest, at Kensington town hall, were struck by the prominence of the SWP, a British branch of an international Trotskyite revolutionary movement.” – The Times

  • Formal inquiry begins today – Guardian

Comment:

  • The tragedy shouldn’t be used for political gain – Stephen Glover, Daily Mail

More left 

  • Momentum-linked campaigner suspended after allegedly making anti-semitic video – Daily Mail
  • Corbyn backs campaign for parliamentary pension fund to drop fossil-fuel investments – FT
  • McDonnell report suggests moving BoE to Birmingham – Independent
  • Labour spin doctor writes book about Davidson’s “revitalising” of Scottish Conservatives  – Herald

Comment:

  • Siddiq should use her influence in Bangladesh – David Bergman, The Times
  • Do Labour members know who their leaders are? – Nick Cohen, Guardian

Wauquiez becomes new leader of Les Republicains

“A populist accused of flirting with the far-Right was set to become leader of the conservative party of Nicolas Sarkozy, The Republicans, on Sunday. Laurent Wauquiez was expected to win a party election by a wide margin, making a second-round vote unnecessary, but he is a divisive figure. He campaigned on nationalist policies that unsettled more moderate Republicans, including Alain Juppé, a popular former prime minister. Mr Wauqiez, 42, a former Europe Minister in Mr Sarkozy’s government, acknowledged that he faced a challenge uniting the party.” – Daily Telegraph

News in Brief

  • To call May’s deal “treason” is not hyperbole – Gerald Warner, Reaction
  • Brexit as Heseltine’s third rebellion – George Eaton, New Statesman
  • Will Schulz get what he wants? – William Cook, Spectator
  • What about a global personal energy footprint tax? – Iason Athanasiadis, Aeon
  • On Plath’s unexpurgated correspondence – Anwen Crawford, New Yorker

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