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Our Survey. Next Tory Leader. Johnson 66 per cent, Hunt 30 per cent.

Hunt has gained far more ground than Johnson since last week – but the latter has double the Foreign Secretary’s vote share and a lead of over 30 points.

By Paul Goodman | 27 June 2019 at 7:00 am | 293 comments

Andrew Gimson’s PMQs sketch: Johnson dominates without being there

In a low blow, the Scottish Nationalists pretend to back Hunt.

By Andrew Gimson | 26 June 2019 at 2:00 pm | 98 comments

Meanwhile, the Conservative poll rating is at under a quarter of the vote

The evidence suggests that what would most improve this terminal score is delivering Brexit – not a new leader.

By Paul Goodman | 26 June 2019 at 6:50 am | 448 comments

Hurry hurry hurry Hunt hurry hurry hurry

He’s right to challenge Johnson vigorously before the ballot papers go out. We need as much debate as possible.

By Paul Goodman | 25 June 2019 at 6:50 am | 191 comments

The GATT XXIV plan – and why Brexiteers should pay the EU the compliment of taking its negotiating stance seriously.

Leavers insist correctly that the EU is a political project first and foremost. Which helps to explain why this scheme is unlikely to fly.

By Paul Goodman | 24 June 2019 at 6:50 am | 402 comments

In praise of Conservative Party members

“Spot on” policy questions to Johnson and Hunt in Birmingham yesterday showed Tory activists as they really are.

By Paul Goodman | 23 June 2019 at 7:00 am | 257 comments

“Not even Johnson can stop Johnson”

The crucial audience that will test this claim is not, for the moment, voters as a whole – but the 150,000 or so Conservative Party members.

By Paul Goodman | 22 June 2019 at 6:50 am | 421 comments

The identity of the new Prime Minister makes a difference to the polls. But Brexit is a far more dominant factor.

New polling from YouGov shows that leaving the EU is an electoral imperative for the Tories.

By Mark Wallace | 21 June 2019 at 1:15 pm | 214 comments

Johnson is set to face an early general election. His Cabinet must be ruthlessly shaped to fight it – on a No Deal platform.

Its members must be signed up to leaving on October 31. Here’s a rough draft of what the top team might look like.

By Paul Goodman | 21 June 2019 at 7:00 am | 562 comments

Andrew Gimson’s leadership sketch: Hunt now threatens Johnson with grey on grey action

Hunt’s people insist he can surprise Johnson.

By Andrew Gimson | 20 June 2019 at 7:02 pm | 30 comments

Gove gets his breakthrough moment. Now for the big choice. What sort of final do Conservative MPs really want?

A noisy one with the Environment Secretary, or a quieter one with the Foreign Secretary? Javid’s backers must think hard.

By Paul Goodman | 20 June 2019 at 2:07 pm | 211 comments

Andrew Gimson’s leadership sketch: Black arts, FSBs and as they come to the last it’s still neck and neck

Jokes continue to be told, but it would be wrong to suggest the contest has been fought in a spirit of unwearying amity.

By Andrew Gimson | 20 June 2019 at 2:06 pm | 17 comments

The Stewart over the water

Much of politics is teamwork. Can he now create a coalition among Tory MPs, not to mention Party members, that builds on his appeal to many voters?

By Paul Goodman | 20 June 2019 at 10:45 am | 68 comments

Next Tory Leader. Our final survey of this Parliamentary stage. Gove is now second to Johnson.

One more day, two more ballots at most – and then we’re through to the membership stage of the contest.

By Paul Goodman | 20 June 2019 at 7:20 am | 138 comments

Gove’s breakthrough moment?

Stewart’s voters are the most hostile to Johnson. Will they switch disproportionately to the man they may think is best placed to give the front-runner a hard time?

By Paul Goodman | 20 June 2019 at 7:10 am | 175 comments

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