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The triple fence that Corbyn must vault during this evening’s TV debate

First, he must be seen to win it.  Second, any such victory must cut through to voters.  Third, it must not be eclipsed by a Johnson victory in further TV head-to-heads.

By Paul Goodman | 19 November 2019 at 10:30 am | 155 comments

Vox pub: Don’t write the Conservatives off in Stirling – and therefore in Scotland more widely

In this marginal seat there is as yet no sign of an SNP surge, and they may just be losing support to Labour too.

By Andrew Gimson | 19 November 2019 at 6:50 am | 81 comments

Childcare policy should support all parents with children – not just those who work in the labour market

By putting money into the hands of parents, in effect, such help would help to drive the demand for childcare of all kinds, formal and informal.

By Paul Goodman | 18 November 2019 at 4:30 am | 85 comments

The Prince, the poll and the people

The relative downsizing of election news is likely to freeze the current campaign in aspic.  That ought to help the party which leads in the polls.

By Paul Goodman | 17 November 2019 at 6:30 am | 168 comments

Why the scattered ex-Tory rebels pose little threat to Johnson’s campaign

Despite early talk, the Prime Minister’s foes have not adopted a common policy, strategy, or branding and are thus fighting forlorn individual battles.

By Henry Hill | 16 November 2019 at 12:00 pm | 63 comments

The campaign, week two. “Small earthquake in Chile. Not many dead.”

Farage’s decision to stand down some Brexit Party candidates seems to have been the most impactful development of this election week.

By Paul Goodman | 15 November 2019 at 6:50 am | 166 comments

In the new Tory immigration policy, less is more

The ‘tens of thousands’ pledge has been ditched, replaced by something more vague.

By Mark Wallace | 14 November 2019 at 5:58 pm | 122 comments

What Johnson said about an independent enquiry into Conservative anti-Muslim hatred

He didn’t dissent from Javid’s call for one. But we can’t find any evidence that he gave a specific commitment.

By Paul Goodman | 14 November 2019 at 7:15 am | 209 comments

Vox pub: Cornish voters wonder whether they can trust the Prime Minister more than the Lib Dems

A fisherman from the Ajax, and other Leavers, want to know that Johnson will not let them down.

By Andrew Gimson | 13 November 2019 at 7:10 am | 92 comments

An open letter to Brexit Party candidates in marginal seats

We ask you to follow the logic of your leader’s position – and stand down in order both to deliver Brexit and avoid a Corbyn Government.

By Paul Goodman | 12 November 2019 at 7:15 am | 199 comments

Farage’s decision sends a signal to Leave voters in marginal seats: vote Conservative

His shift on candidates now acknowledges that a hung Parliament would be a bad thing. It follows that pro-Brexit voters in tight contests should back the Tories.

By Paul Goodman | 11 November 2019 at 1:39 pm | 260 comments

How to halt the vexatious legal pursuit of our brave servicemen and women

Lord Caine has projected a plan that would allow proceedings into suspected Troubles-related offences only if certificates are issued by senior legal figures.

By Paul Goodman | 11 November 2019 at 7:00 am | 83 comments

What would you want from the polls if you were Johnson?

Our answer is: a steady lead and a late wobble – to help get the vote out. He begins the second week on course.

By Paul Goodman | 10 November 2019 at 7:00 am | 180 comments

Is the Conservative campaign about to run headlong into an NHS winter crisis?

In terms of the actual situation in hospitals, probably not, but that does not insulate it from the political danger of such a narrative should it take hold.

By Henry Hill | 9 November 2019 at 8:00 am | 79 comments

The campaign, week one. “Listen to me, we’re going to lose this f*cking election.”

Bad campaigns usually don’t matter, but the Party can’t risk one. Johnson needs Javid to help persuade voters that Corbyn would plunder their wallets.

By Paul Goodman | 8 November 2019 at 6:40 am | 154 comments

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