While the north and midlands account for 39 per cent of the population of Britain, 29 out of the 50 most marginal Labour seats (58 per cent) are found there.
In some campaigns, the end result is overwhelmingly likely before a stump has been erected. This is not one of those occasions.
Iain Dale: If Johnson loses, we’ll have a fourth Conservative leader in five years. Goodness knows who that would be.
Plus: Groundhog Day for the NHS. Farage is the dog that hasn’t barked. I will miss Morgan. And: Off to Liverpool.
Conventional wisdom is that the Party will suffer a serious setback north of the border. The Prime Minister must resource a more optimistic strategy.
It really is remarkable. Every self-reported measure of wellbeing has improved near continuously in the past eight years.
Had he been on the Left, he would have been regarded as one of our towering public intellectuals. But he committed the ultimate sin: he was a Thatcherite.
In my view, they’d be mad not to make him a defining feature of their campaign. The party should be running a contrast campaign with ‘Corbyn’s Labour’.
The first phase may have been the most fraught, but Johnson’s deal leaves lots to do – and many decisions to make – in the next stage.
David Gauke: When your bell rings in December, you expect to be sung a carol – not asked how you’re going to vote
The result of a general election next month would by no means be a foregone conclusion.
Iain Dale: Johnson is in a position to win an election – and may not get another chance to do so for quite some time
Plus: I have the right to speak my mind about Liverpool. Plus: am I a true Conservative?
Like rugby team experiencing ‘white line fever’, it seems the closer the objective is, the more unforced errors they suffer.
Plus: The disaster zone is in the way that children with special educational needs are educated.
Neil O’Brien: How we can win support from younger voters – and turn our present strength into an enduring majority
For me, the most concerning thing wasn’t being behind among the very young, but being behind among everyone under age 47.
There have been compromises on both sides and the DUP says it cannot support the new Withdrawal Agreement. But what’s actually in it and what’s new?
Plus: Sky News troll themselves. How the next Speaker might surprise you. And: Labour moderates are still deluded about their Party’s future.