My research suggests that parties of the centre-right should be cautious about mistaking transactional voter support for deeper allegiance.
John O’Connell: The tax choice ahead. Johnson, and the highest burden since Attlee. Or Corbyn, and…the highest ever.
The tax burden isn’t a full measure of the size of the state. But it’s arguably the pre-eminent factor and certainly that which most concerns the TaxPayers’ Alliance.
In 2017, 51 MPs were returned with majorities of less than a thousand. That’s 51 results potentially determined by an extra hour on the doorstep,
It could have been so different. He should have withdrawn his troops from all but a few seats in which the Tories had no chance of winning.
Chris Whiteside: A hung parliament with Labour and the SNP able to form a government is still a very real danger
With so many disillusioned with politicians of all parties the role of self-defeating expectations comes into play.
ConHome’s election panel. “The Conservatives should be obsessing about contrast – not just on Brexit, but other wedge issues too.”
Each week, our panel of James Frayne, Marcus Roberts, Trevor Phillips, and Salma Shah will will analyse and assess what’s happening.
Lord Ashcroft: “A craven opportunist”; “She’s a bit militant”; “I want it over and done with” – my final round of election focus groups
We visit Bishop Auckland, Warwick and Leamington, and Wimbledon. And ask: which actors would the interviewees cast in ‘Election 2019: The Movie’?
In 2010, Eric Pickles gave my intake the benefit of his experience. Now, in turn, I offer a few lessons I’ve picked up.
All these ‘family friendly policies’ are offered to mothers only if they agree to hand over care of their children to external settings and get out of the home.
Trump, Erdogan and Macron all pose difficulties for the alliance. Corbyn in Downing Street would pose deeper and more dangerous ones.
Mark Francois: I urge Leavers to vote Tory – so gaining Brexit, preparing for free trade and smashing Marxism. All at once.
We now have the most amazing opportunity to deliver an emphatic victory over Corbyn’s extremists – and achieve Brexit into the bargain.
Lord Ashcroft: Labour is doing better among its former voters than at this campaign’s start. Week Four of my General Election Dashboard.
But my latest 4,000-sample poll, conducted between Friday and Monday, finds little change in the overall picture,
Vague plans to “review” business rates, “clamp down” on late payments, or “reform” Entrepreneurs’ Relief will do little to inspire.
The most serious risk of all is the clear possibility that the new regime will lead to a massive increase of immigration.
Liam Fox: Now we must focus on getting Brexit done – and on Labour’s threat to wages, job and savings
Understandably, attention is concentrated on the London Bridge attack aftermath. But we must focus laser-like on all the essential issues.