The President’s strategy of making a resumption of normal government depend on funding for his wall doesn’t appear to be working.
The 2020 race, then, looks wide open and depends on two things outside the President’s direct control.
From Democratic control of the House to the Mueller investigation, Trump faces a challenging 2019.
Ben Roback: From Presidents 41 to 45 – different backgrounds, different manners, different beliefs, and a different Republican Party
The older Bush was a man of free markets, small government, global engagement…and good manners.
It was an election that had something for everyone. And one that therefore leaves the future uncertain.
The Republicans made gains in the Senate, the Democrats won back the House – but that’s not enough to give them the stranglehold on Trump that they wanted.
Lord Ashcroft: “I was like, we must pick one of these? But I’m pleasantly surprised.” My pre-election focus groups from California.
Despite his dominance of the national scene, Trump was hardly a consideration for most of our participants when it came to deciding how to vote this week.
Lord Ashcroft: “Why should I change what I think or do so that I can win?” My interview with John Kasich.
The Governor of Ohio won over four million votes in the battle to become the Republican nominee for President two years ago. Will he run again?
Lord Ashcroft: ‘The Democrats feel like the middle ground now, and that’s a bad thing’. My pre-midterm election focus groups from Iowa and Minnesota.
Trump is mostly a factor for his strongest supporters and opponents.
Ben Roback: Trump’s ratings are improving – but the midterm elections could block his legislative agenda
Four key states, three house districts and two top governors’ races to watch as November 8 approaches.
Lord Ashcroft: “We’re no longer Democrat and Republican. We’re socialism against conservatism.” My new pre-midterm election focus groups from America.
Voters seem more divided than ever.
The Conservative Party’s Vice Chair for International tells me about his priorities in the role.
It is hard to see how blowing up the Special Counsel’s investigation now would deliver any kind of political benefit for the president.
I suspect his opponents will make little progress as they continue to talk about conduct while his electoral coalition is more interested in delivery.
Ben Roback: So far, there is little sign of Trump’s promised ‘Deal of the Century’ in the Middle East
Delivering on his campaign promise to recognise Jerusalem as Israel’s capital and move the US embassy accordingly hasn’t helped.