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Ben Roback: Will Trump explode America’s two-party system?

Seventeen Republican senators would be needed for the two thirds majority required to impeach him. This seems a high bar.

By Ben Roback | 13 January 2021 at 5:30 pm | 28 comments

Ben Roback: Who would bet on Trump turning up at Biden’s inauguration?

Intriguingly, he has retweeted an article which said: ‘May God bless him, Melania, and their family, as God leads him to the next chapter in his life.’

By Ben Roback | 16 December 2020 at 4:33 pm | 34 comments

Sarah Elliott: Biden might have won the US election, but Republican victories elsewhere will inhibit his presidency

The incoming House GOP class is the most diverse freshman class for the Republicans in history. The majority of those who won are female.

By Sarah Elliott | 9 December 2020 at 10:30 am | 32 comments

Biden’s top team takes shape. Diversity is required in principle though not always in practice.

The President-elect’s closest circle of advisers seem to be selected on the basis of trust and experience.

By Ben Roback | 2 December 2020 at 4:00 pm | 23 comments

America’s election results – and the Blue Wave That Never Was. Biden will be constrained if he wins.

Continuity on Capitol Hill looks set to ensue, with Republicans holding the Senate and Democrats keeping the House.

By Ben Roback | 4 November 2020 at 5:25 pm | 75 comments

Lord Ashcroft: “If Trump loses…he can run again.” My American election focus groups in Pennsylvania and Arizona.

“Trump lies a lot and Biden’s kind of not all there.” And it’s less than a week to go until voting day.”

By Lord Ashcroft | 30 October 2020 at 6:20 am | 15 comments

Lord Ashcroft: “If you’re voting for Trump, you keep your mouth shut.” My American election focus groups in Georgia and Ohio.

Many felt the election was going to be close – and that, whatever the outcome, there was a widespread expectation that things would get messy.

By Lord Ashcroft | 23 October 2020 at 6:20 am | 38 comments

Ben Roback: The polls only point to one election outcome – a Biden win. But what if they’re wrong?

The worst-case scenario for polling day and the weeks that follow is illegal, armed militias imposing themselves on polling stations and state capitols.

By Ben Roback | 21 October 2020 at 4:05 pm | 75 comments

Lord Ashcroft: Trump – “toxic”, “awesome”, both or neither? My American election focus groups in Michigan and North Carolina.

Several of our participants remained undecided. They wanted to hear more about where both candidates stood on policy, especially healthcare.

By Lord Ashcroft | 16 October 2020 at 6:10 am | 13 comments

Lord Ashcroft: “I think there might be riots whoever wins.” My American election campaign focus groups in Florida and Wisconsin.

“I could see this dragging out for weeks…we probably won’t know who’s president until late December or early January.”

By Lord Ashcroft | 9 October 2020 at 6:20 am | 21 comments

Ben Roback: Vice-presidential debates usually don’t matter. Tonight’s does – because either contender could be president soon.

With Trump’s health still uncertain and Biden an even older man, Pence v Harris may turn out to be very important indeed.

By Ben Roback | 7 October 2020 at 5:45 pm | 10 comments

Ben Roback: Whoever won yesterday’s travesty of a presidential debate in America, it certainly wasn’t the voters

This election seems destined for the courts – so we could be looking well into 2021 before we get a definitive result.

By Ben Roback | 30 September 2020 at 3:40 pm | 26 comments

Ben Roback: Trump may not win, but this sudden Supreme Court vacancy gives him a chance to make a long-term mark on America.

A conservative constitutional scholar supported by the Presidemt would fundamentally shift the balance of the Court, ensuring a clear majority of 6-3.

By Ben Roback | 23 September 2020 at 5:00 pm | 40 comments

Ben Roback: What the Republican and Democratic conventions tell us about the state of the race

In January, the President wanted to be talking about jobs and growth. Instead, his Party present themselves as the last line of defence against anarchy.

By Ben Roback | 26 August 2020 at 4:00 pm | 43 comments

Florida and the presidential election: darkness looms in the Sunshine State

It’s key to a Trump or Biden victory, and the President is behind in the polls – as Covid-19 rages, and the Republican convention prepares to meet there.

By Ben Roback | 15 July 2020 at 4:30 pm | 20 comments

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