For the first time ever, the race to increase ethnic minority representation is neck-and-neck between the two main parties.
Posts by Sunder Katwala
Director of British FutureFollow @
The Conservatives have to balance attracting more younger voters while not ducking the immigration question.
The approach to a missed target should not be to abandon the idea of targets
About half fall into the ‘engageable’ and about half into the ‘rejectionist’ category, according to British Future’s analysis of polling and research.
The share that candidates take of new entrants to the electorate will help to decide the most marginal seats.
Sunder Katwala: The Euro-elections are the Eurosceptic cup final, but most voters don’t watch the match
May’s poll will be a poor guide to the general election that will follow a year later.
Tories are cheerful, socialists gloomy, the Scots expect to vote No…and UKIP supporters expect England to be knocked out in the first round of the World Cup.
A better showing with them would have won the Conservatives at least 24 more marginal seats from Labour.