There are two groups who are particularly exposed: those who have recently lost their jobs, and younger people.
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Parliament returns today. Don’t expect it to pile pressure on the Government. At least until early May.
It appears that there will be no votes until next week. After that, the May Bank Holiday looms. In any event, MPs will be feeling their virtual way.
Johnson, the Sunday Times and the virus. The Remainer losers have learnt nothing from the EU referendum and last year’s election.
It may be significant that the one person who doesn’t seem to be making their mistake is Keir Starmer.
We hope and expect Johnson will be back by May 8. But if he isn’t, Raab must lead in easing the lockdown.
The art will be to do so in such a way that the NHS can cope with a rise in admissions. And social distancing for the most vulnerable must remain in place.
Ministers can carry on trying, through the British Business Bank or directly, to push on this Gordian Knot – or slice through it.
Those five tests. The stage is set for an easing of the lockdown to be trailed after the first May Bank Holiday.
Johnson will seek to keep ahead of public opinion. The art for him is to not to be caught out by a sudden shift in mood.
We don’t expect the shutdown to last in full until summer. But if it did, Britain might well be moving towards Universal Credit as a basic income.
The date at which lockdown should end is debatable. That MPs and peers should be debating it is not.
A reminder from Johnson’s broadcast. The lockdown won’t end until the NHS can cope with a second wave.
The Government’s main aim to date has been to ensure that it can take the strain – and his remarkable statement shows that this is unlikely to change.
Those who argue that the virus isn’t a serious problem and that the lockdown was unnecessary have more brains than sense.
It’s not usually the Opposition’s job to do the Government’s thinking for it. But these are exceptional times. And Ministers need all the help they can get.
It may just be that voters will see the Prime Minister in a new light after his admittance to intensive care
We hope that the new Johnson, the referendum-scarred near-landslide winner, regains the wider appeal of the old one, the Mayor who got stuck on a zip wire.
The Government needs to give shape and definition to its backroom plans to end the lockdown. His colleagues must support the man in charge.
We are holding over our daily column, comment piece and local government article this morning. Our newslinks will be published as usual.
We hope that the Prime Minister will soon be back to his usual swashbuckling self. Until then, Raab should take over.
The choice is between this imperfect option and a worse one – which is letting the ship of state drift amidst a storm unprecented in its nature and reach.