Public opinion would back missile strikes against Assad, and arming a credible opposition, were there to be one. But not more western boots on the ground.
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The capital isn’t a single political entity. Rather, it is still in some ways a Napoleon-of-Notting-Hill-style mass of small towns.
The changes in the ratings of the top three are almost unchanged, another tribute to the consistency of the poll.
We wanted to discover if a substantial underbelly of Tory member opinion believes that Russia isn’t a threat to our security. There isn’t one.
Our survey. Are Tory members shifting towards backing tax rises? They divide over one to help fund the NHS.
41 per cent say spending should rise further and be funded by a specific hike, while 44 per cent oppose the idea.
Our survey. Half of Tory members are satisfied with May’s transition deal. Almost two in five are dissatisfied.
That’s down from the seven in ten who backed the pre-Christmas EU agreement, but Downing Street may well think the finding could be a lot worse.
But more of our Party member respondents want her to leave Downing Street before the next election than don’t – as in every survey since last June.
Should new NHS spending be funded by a tax increase? Is Russia a threat to our security? The transition deal – good or bad?
Members of the ConservativeHome panel should find the monthly survey in their inboxes today.
At each turn to date, they have decided that the best shouldn’t be the enemy of the good. Which suggests that they won’t vote against any heads of agreement – however imperfect.
If a new tax is not to be posited as the answer to each new problem, Conservatives must start thinking about new ways of controlling the rise in spending.
To Diehard Remainers. You lost. Get over it. Drop the conspiracy theories – and stop assuming Leave voters are thick.
Lavish campaign spending does not guarantee electoral success. If it did, Brexit wouldn’t be happening. And Theresa May would now have a majority.
But expansion won’t take off for a long time yet, if at all – and, ominously for the Government, a Select Committee report published today has big concerns about costs.
The Prime Minister won’t get some other EU countries where she wants them. Not to mention Juncker. (And Trump, for that matter.)
The recent fall in net EU migration may be making an impact on public opinion. At any rate, now is the time to begin planning a durable post-transition immigration policy.
There are different ways of reaching an estimate. But credit to Lewis for putting a figure out there.