This finding is extraordinary, but there are at least four reasons why it could be on the money – and is a reliable guide to the trend.
Posts by Paul GoodmanFollow @
Over seven in ten of our Party member respondents are opposed to the initiative for the second month running.
Our survey. A record total of nearly eight out of ten Party members say that May should announce now that she will resign.
The voluntary Party has lost confidence in the Prime Minister. Is anyone listening around the Cabinet table?
Candidates that you disagree with on Brexit – and who are forced on you. Another disincentive to vote Tory in Euro-elections.
Are you pro-Brexit? Anti? In either case, you may have a Conservative candidate foisted on you with whose views you disagree – without your consent.
Engage with Extinction Rebellion if you have to or want to, but you’ll be doing so with cultists. So don’t expect anything to come of it.
There is a mismatch between Government announcements and Commons realities. It cannot attempt reforms without risking them being amended out of recognition.
They have a value of their own which reaches beyond their function. They gain it not by doing anything but by being something.
Amidst verbal and actual violence, it is tempting to seek to shut down, say, Farage or Lammy altogether. But politics without anger would be impossible – and undesirable.
The polling and leadership election crisis stories raises three questions for both to ponder.
We seem to be heading back towards where British politics was between 2005 and 2015: in other words, towards more of a three or four or perhaps more party system.
At first glance, it looks like just about the worst timetable for achieving Brexit – which must now be seriously in doubt.
His sacking is more evidence, were it needed, of the tensions that tear at the Tory coalition – and threaten to render it unsustainable.
The ERG. Will it escape Tory gravity, and soar to another planet? Or sink back into Celestial Body Conservative?
It has grown from a group small enough to meet for breakfasts to one large enough to have its own whipping. That last feature is unsustainable.
No way forward is without risk at this stage. But the least hazardous course is for the Party to step out soon with a new leader.
This isn’t even that event of journalistic legend – small earthquake, not many dead. It is a tremor that barely registers on the seismograph.