That’s the first time this has been the case for more than two years – though the majority is small.
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Lessons endure from my polling study of our new Prime Minister, carried out six years ago when he was London’s Mayor.
Lord Ashcroft: More woe for St Helena. New figures reveal that its airport has failed to bring an influx of visitors
Sadly, neither I nor others have a magic wand to wave but, for starters, the island needs to become far more accessible to the outside world.
Who will get Brexit done? Who is best placed to defeat Corbyn at the next election? And who would do the best job of leading a government?
It shows in detail what people make of the two candidates vying to be their next Prime Minister – particularly their appeal to voters who are not already Tories.
Lord Ashcroft: What my focus groups of wavering Conservative voters told me about the Tory leadership contest
For most in our groups, the strongest candidates were Johnson, Hunt and Javid, though Stewart had also stuck in several people’s minds.
The most successful are those who can put their values to work and build a broad coalition, rather than exploit divisions.
Lord Ashcroft: My EU election poll. Most former Tory voters say they will stay with their new party at the next election.
Exploring how people voted in last week’s election, why they did so, and when they made up their mind is instructive.
Lord Ashcroft: Breeding lions for slaughter in South Africa. What Gove must do to help stamp out this cruel practice.
My undercover investigation exposed a disgusting and abusive practice which shames South Africa – and, by extension, all of us.
At the same time, my research shows some of the hurdles any theoretical new movement will have to cross if it is to survive contact with reality.
As Meaningful Vote Three on May’s deal looms, we republish the poll of over 12,000 voters which revealed the concerns that helped to decide the referendum.
Lord Ashcroft: “There’s not going to be a single Democrat that can go toe-to-toe with the President.” My interview with Kayleigh McEnany.
Trump’s press secretary sets out how the President intends to run his re-election campaign in 2020.
Most of the people in most of our groups – Remain and Leave, Conservative and Labour – thought we would end up leaving with some sort of deal.
As a woman in Iowa told us: “It’s like the CEO of the company I work for. I don’t care if you’re the nicest guy in the world. I care that I’m going to have a job from day to day.”
The 2020 race, then, looks wide open and depends on two things outside the President’s direct control.