I also have new findings from Bristol North West, Bristol West, Thurrock, Colne Valley and High Peak.
Plus: this week’s focus groups in Plymouth Moor View and St Austell & Newquay; responses to the manifestos; and what are the leaders’ favourite TV programmes?
Two are ties, and Labour are ahead in three, though well within the margin of error.
Plus: This week’s focus group in Wirral West on McVey, Sturgeon and Trident; and what would the party leaders be like as dinner guests?
The work, a collaboration with Isabel Oakeshott, will be published this autumn. But you can pre-order now.
Voters may be paying more attention, but they aren’t finding the choice any easier or more palatable.
It’s very tight indeed in these constituencies, but Ed Miliband’s party has the edge in these local campaigns on the basis of this evidence.
Where do voters in Thurrock and Brentford think the party leaders would go on a night out?
The battlegrounds show a mix of results. But UKIP is down across the board.
But Miliband has narrowed the gap on personal and party attributes where he is behind Cameron, and extended his lead where he was already ahead.
Used wisely, opinion research can help bridge the gap between the political class and the people.
Plus: This week’s focus groups in Leamington and Dewsbury; and if the party leaders were singers, whom would they be?
The better national news for the Tories is not spread evenly across the battleground.
Plus: This week’s focus groups in Glasgow, Paisley and Edinburgh; and who would play whom in Nicola Sturgeon: The Movie?