Such seats are absolutely to the Conservatives’ hopes of an overall majority – but what do the voters have to say?
Posts by Lord AshcroftFollow @
Together with my weekly focus groups, it will help to explain the dynamics of the campaign and the factors that will determine the outcome.
What do voters in Richmond Park, Cambridge, and Finchley & Golders Green think about the Prime Minister, the Opposition, and the election?
Lord Ashcroft: With a year to go, my latest research looks at Trump’s chances of getting a second term
A portion of his 2016 voters are unimpressed and wavering – but the President’s fate is not settled. Particularly as the Democrats are yet to agree a candidate.
Overall, most English voters would rather keep the Union together if it were up to them.
Lord Ashcroft: PTSD-suffering military veterans show long-term benefits from working with orphaned baby rhinos
The participants in Footprints of Hope say that they would encourage other veterans with mental health and physical disabilities to apply for future programmes.
And: The Defence Secretary denies we need to pick empires. Plus: More publicans needed in politics – and the menace of the anti-meat lobby.
And: Gove says MPs can sit at weekends to get a deal through. Plus: Brisk business at the bookstall – and the menace of the “offence archaeologists”.
Lord Ashcroft’s Conference Diary: Could Tory MPs be whipped to vote that they don’t have confidence…in their own Government?
And: Gigabit broadband will soon be “sprouting like vermicelli”, says Johnson. Plus: Mordaunt’s warnings and Hoey’s heroine’s welcome.
It sets the scene as the Conservative Conference opens by showing what the voters themselves make of the unfolding drama.
Lord Ashcroft: My Northern Ireland polling. Six out of ten voters there accept the backstop. But only one in five Unionists do so.
More broadly, there is a lead for Irish unification of 46 per cent to 45 per cent – a statistical tie.
More poignantly, it was also clear that many had become so demoralised as to wonder whether voting was worth bothering with.
We should measure the success of our aid programmes by the good we achieve, not simply by the amount of money we spend.
That’s the first time this has been the case for more than two years – though the majority is small.
Lessons endure from my polling study of our new Prime Minister, carried out six years ago when he was London’s Mayor.