Let us hope not. It’s unlikely, but not completely impossible. The Government must battle four trends to reduce the risk.
Posts by James Frayne
James Frayne is Director of Policy and Strategy at Policy Exchange and author of Meet the People, a guide to public opinion.
She certainly starts from a difficult place. But all is not completely lost.
Over the last couple of years in groups I’ve run, people have become simultaneously more obsessed about the service and more concerned about waste.
James Frayne: The route to a Conservative election victory lies through Middlesbrough, not Canterbury
That doesn’t mean the Party needs to move right; on the contrary, it means accommodating on issues such as the NHS.
Public health and environmental health look the likeliest sources. Shifting everyone to the equivalent of PAYE and taxing the biggest businesses must also be targets.
James Frayne: The voters most enthusiastic about state action on childhood obesity are…Conservative ones
So new research suggests. Private businesses must take at least as much responsibility for this state of affairs as Tory politicians.
The former’s readership has risen. The latter’s leadership is changing. What will this and other changes mean for our political culture?
Disillusionment, anger, reduced turnout, a body blow to future social reform, and a possible boost to extremists are all potential consequences.
He or she should particularly highlight the fact that Labour’s traditional voters are being hurt most by high crime levels.
The idea is often derided as a myth, meaningless beyond the minds of a few Conservatives – but we now know it is rooted in widespread popular feeling.
James Frayne: A second referendum? The poll data suggests Greening’s idea would be a total disaster for the Conservatives
The British left are somewhat more open to the idea, but the Conservative Party’s members and voters would not wear the proposal
The tendency of people in politics to think of everything through a political prism is mistaken. The star dust of sporting triumph does not rub off on politicians.
James Frayne: Relations between businesses and politicians are made worse by the fact each misunderstand the other
It’s not just about Brexit – it’s deeper and longer-standing than that. Ironically, relations would improve if they each a bit more combative.
It is rare to hear the defence establishment talking plainly about the need to protect Britain against external threats.