James Arnell: Negotiation in Europe is fundamentally a turbulent sport

The author’s 2017 predictions for the shape and tone of the Brexit talks have proved strikingly accurate.

James Arnell: The conventional wisdom about a trade deal with America is wrong. Trump will want a fair one. Here’s why.

The primary motivation to strike a fair agreement with the UK will be to apply pressure to the EU.

James Arnell: A second referendum is now Brexiteers’ best chance of getting what they want

A Remainer parliament will never be willing to properly implement Brexit. And there is only one other decision-making body: the people.

Jamie Arnell: Why non-disclosure agreements shouldn’t cover bullying and harrassment

Bullying managers would know that they would have to expect to face justice. False accusers would know that they would have to prove any claim in court.

James Arnell: No Deal 4) An outward-looking, global UK

We re-run the author’s series on what might be done for the UK to be Ready on Day One.

James Arnell: No Deal 3) Contingency planning

We re-run the author’s series on what might be done for the UK to be Ready on Day One.

James Arnell: No Deal 2) Trade and regulations

We re-run the author’s series on what might be done for the UK to be Ready on Day One.

James Arnell: No Deal 1) The money

We re-run James Arnell’s series on what might be done for the UK to be Ready on Day One.

James Arnell: Six questions for Corbyn’s new Customs Union policy

It needs to be challenged. Here are a few questions to ask about being in a union that binds us to the Common Commercial Policy.

James Arnell: Brexit. What we should do now

We need a new negotiating team – who will come in hard, making it clear to the EU that we are not going to roll over.

James Arnell: Ready on Day One for Brexit 5) Reactions, refinements – and further work

I have said previously that I believe the Government has been pursuing a sensible negotiating approach to date. I maintain that view.

James Arnell: Ready on Day One for Brexit 4) Ensuring a competitive, outward-looking UK

After leaving the EU, we must ensure we are well-positioned in terms of regulation, taxation, immigration and – crucially – foreign languages.

James Arnell: Ready on Day One for Brexit. 3) Urgent transition issues.

There are some areas where continued jurisdiction for the ECJ is defensible and may, pragmatically, be the best route forward.

James Arnell: Ready on Day One for Brexit. 2) Tariffs and trade. We must be willing to be radical.

In a no-deal scenario, we must be prepared with a detailed plan which takes into account the trading and regulatory differences between industries.

James Arnell: Ready on Day One for Brexit. 1) Money. If there’s no deal, and the EU fails to play fair, we shouldn’t pay it a penny.

I would propose that we pay a total of €12 billion as our “divorce bill” – even if there’s no FTA. But subject to three conditions.