With the backstop blocking progress in the negotiations, the Government must map out its plan to mitigate the effects of no agreement being reached.
Posts by Henry Newman
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The PM needs to empathise with those who have concerns about her policy. She should accept that Chequers is probably not anyone’s dream plan.
Henry Newman: Now the Government must promote Chequers – which, though not perfect, is at least practicable
For far, far too long Downing Street dithered and delayed crucial decisions. Ministers need to commit to selling the agreed policy before its too late.
Henry Newman: Has the Prime Minister’s change of tack on Brexit bought any goodwill with her EU counterparts?
We will know soon enough, when the leaders reassemble for the next opportunity to break the impasse.
Our exit in will coincide with a new cycle of European elections which will redraw political power in the European Parliament and other EU institutions.
Henry Newman: The ticking Brexit clock demands clarity from both sides, but also adds to the risk of No Deal
It’s likely that there will be some form of agreement, perhaps at the last minute. Likely, but far from certain.
The Government must avoid one which can be ‘triggered’ in the event of any UK regulatory divergence on goods or agriculture.
Henry Newman: May’s strategy is in crisis – continuing to exclude the Brexit Secretary from the process will only make that worse
Davis was not alone in being kept in the dark – ministers in various departments have been wrongly left out of Brexit planning done by their own civil servants.
Henry Newman: Yes, we have proposed a voluntary managed alignment in goods. But direct ECJ jurisdiction must end.
Either a new dispute resolution mechanism will be required, or the UK could dock into part of the EFTA court to resolve disputes over goods.
Henry Newman: There’s still time for the UK to shape the Brexit negotiations – if the Government gets its act together
That means making overdue decisions, settling internal disputes, and no more campaigning by the Treasury to undermine Brexit policy.
Henry Newman: Navigating the EU Withdrawal Bill through unamended without a majority is nightmarish – but possible
Labour have sunk efforts to trap us in the Single Market. A compromise should kick the Customs Union can down the road. Which leaves the ‘meaningful’ vote.
Henry Newman: The EU isn’t a conspiracy against democracy, but it does a pretty good job of looking like one
Some Italians hoped Brexit would make Brussels realise it had gone too far. Instead, the EU elite has doubled down, regardless of troublesome voters.
Henry Newman: The more we look back to the referendum, and re-fight its battles, the less we get ready for the future
And most EU member states haven’t spent nearly enough time really thinking what the future relationship between the UK and EU should look like, either.
There are two options under consideration. One in particular, the partnership model, is unworkable and unacceptable. It should be put out of its misery.
Henry Newman: Even if the Government concedes on an EU customs union, membership of it looks unsustainable. Here’s why.
Can we really imagine ministers rejecting Justin Trudeau’s trade deal offer, or one from the American administration, or from Australia and New Zealand?