Those who still refuse to accept we’re really going to leave the EU are misreading the process, the politics, and the people.
Posts by Henry Newman
Henry Newman is Director of Open Europe.Follow @
DExEU people are whispering “48” as the upper end of the UK’s potential liability. But that level of commitment or specificity is not necessarily required at this stage.
Henry Newman: My take from Brussels this week. The EU side wants to ramp up the pressure – not wind down the talks.
There’s more than a hint in the air that they are happy to let the negotiation get sticky – and wait for capital to flee the UK and for investment to plummet.
The key question is not whether we can diverge, but whether we can do so without asking the EU first and obtaining their prior agreement.
Henry Newman: Macron seems determined to prove that Brexiteer fears about a federal Europe were right all along.
But could Germany, in the wake of its election result, now become the prime bulwark against Macron’s and Juncker’s ambitions?
Henry Newman: Johnson has got the Foreign Office back in Brexit business. And for that we should all be grateful.
From speaking to civil servants, it seems that – at least until recently – the Cabinet had not properly considered either a preferred end state or indeed transition policy.
…Unlike Corbyn’s. Brexit this autumn 2) Henry Newman: When can we expect the next verse of Labour’s hokey-cokey?
Has anyone told Barry Gardiner about this latest change? Only last month, he wrote that staying in the Customs Union would be “a disaster”.
Henry Newman: Of the Government’s two proposals for post-Brexit customs policy, only one is workable
The policy paper provides welcome clarity, but it’s time the Treasury gave up on the fiendishly difficult model it prefers.
Henry Newman: There will be a Brexit transition period – but it is unlikely to be via the EEA or EFTA
For all the talk of an “off the shelf” solution, those available would cross Brexiteer red lines.
The clock is ticking, and business and the public need to see that the Government is gripping the complexities of the process.
Henry Newman: If the EU can strike a free trade, customs-friendly deal with Japan, why not with Britain too?
The Union has already signed up to an FTA) with Canada. Surely we should be able to agree a similar deal for the UK – if not one substantially deeper.
Many of Brussels’ demands, including for continued oversight by the European Court, are quite simply preposterous.
Henry Newman: Hammond has listened to his colleagues over Brexit. Now they should listen to him, and make it open – not closed.
His Mansion House speech offered an opportunity to shift the tone of Brexit policy towards openness, liberalism, free trade and responsible capitalism.
Henry Newman: Hammond should stick to the Conservative position on the Customs Union – and stop freelancing
We would remain bound by the EU’s protectionist tariff structure, and have our trade agreements determined by institutions on which we were not represented.
Will the UK get a deal? Much depends on whether other European governments or the EU Commission take charge on the other side of the table.