It is believed that the Conservatives will again have a poor campaign, and that voters will punish them further on economic grounds. I believe this is heuristics, not thorough analysis.
Posts by Alex Crowley
Alex Crowley was Research Director and then Political Director of Boris Johnson’s London Mayoral election campaigns in 2008 and 2012. He is also the author of ‘Victory in London’, a book about how those campaigns were won.Follow @
We face the prospect of extinction in our nation’s capital if we do not take steps to arrest a decline that has been underway for some years.
Labour’s ‘good night’ in the capital wasn’t good enough to put us out of the running for City Hall in 2016… if we get our act together.
Alex Crowley: Mayor of London is one of the best jobs in British politics – so why don’t any Tories want it?
On the basis you only need to be better than your opponent, the mayoral election in 2016 is indeed competitive. Whisper it: even winnable for the Conservatives.