By Tim Montgomerie
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- Public opposition to continuing spending cuts
- Tax rises on ordinary families
- The growth of UKIP as a vehicle for disillusioned Conservative and Eurosceptic voters
- A suspicion that the Conservative Party is on the side of the wealthy rather than the ordinary worker
- Opposition from The Sun, Mail and other newspapers
- BBC bias
- Sluggish economic growth
- Disunity in Tory ranks
- Problems in the NHS
- A change of Labour leader, for example to Yvette Cooper
- The boundary changes are not introduced into law
- Increasingly unhappy relations with the Liberal Democrats that means they will not not want to form another coalition with the Conservatives in the event of another hung parliament
- Too much caution from David Cameron in ordering the Tory machine to fight and therefore oust Liberal Democrat MPs
- Lack of Tory progress in Scotland
- Lack of Tory progress in northern England
- The lack of a compelling big Tory message
- Too much focus on issues like gay marriage and House of Lords reform
- Broken promises on policies like the third runway at Heathrow
- David Cameron neglecting traditional Tory beliefs
- Any donor and sleaze scandals
- High levels of immigration
- High energy bills
- A failure to deliver green policies
- British soldiers getting involved in more overseas wars
- Inadequate party funds
- Declining party membership so there are fewer activists to deliver leaflets
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