Also: Welsh and Scottish Labour throw their weight behind EU referendum re-run after poll drubbing; UUP and Sinn Fein leaders in trouble.
In both countries, the votes of both Labour and especially the Conservatives have been squeezed between the Brexiteers and the separatists.
We seem to be heading back towards where British politics was between 2005 and 2015: in other words, towards more of a three or four or perhaps more party system.
This isn’t even that event of journalistic legend – small earthquake, not many dead. It is a tremor that barely registers on the seismograph.
Also: May cites absurd fears about ‘direct rule’ to justify abandonment of No Deal; Tory rebels wooed separatist votes; and polls open in Newport West.
Also: Eleven candidates prepare to fight Newport West by-election; Trimble hints that backstop changes could be enough; and more.
Cooper/Letwin is back, supported by Labour and Tory Europhiles as well as the Liberal Democrats, the Independent Group, and Scottish and Welsh nationalists.
There’s a Conservative/Labour/Democratic Unionist push to rule out a second referendum and Benn leads the charge for Cooper/Letwin.
In addition to ‘Malthouse II’ and the Spelman/Dromey Amendment are several tabled by the Independent Group and nationalist parties.
Also: Welsh Labour slump in latest poll; SNP push Mundell over post-Brexit funding; DUP resist calls for 50/50 police recruitment – and more.
If it passes, a signal will be sent that the Commons is likely to take control of Brexit policy – even if the Brady amendment also passes.
As predicted, they have scarcely profited from the collapse of UKIP – and now Abolish the Assembly is mounting a challenge for the unionist vote.
Also: Jones criticised for shielding ministers from independent scrutiny; and Mundell’s bizarre pop at ‘carpet-bagging’ colleagues.
Don’t presume anything about a Commons vote on May’s deal. Especially a second vote. If she’s still in place after a first one goes down…