Paul Nuttall

Will the Conservatives win in Stoke?

The situation is volatile, but on balance it is more likely that Labour will hang on, and that Paul Nuttall will be the first victim of Thursday’s by-election.

HODGE David

Hodge’s finger tip control

Council leaders will draw a moral from those mis-sent text messages: that if Ministers are put under enough pressure, they will cough up the loot.

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Maggie May

The logic of her view that no deal is better than a bad one suggests that, like Thatcher at Fontainebleau, she is prepared to walk away if necessary.