A massive poll lead. Going early. A wooden leader. Mindless mantras. A despised opposition. And then collapse. The parallels are uncanny: why didn’t Crosby warn her?
There is a natural path ahead: announce a resignation by the end of next week, and allow a contest to take place over the summer.
Gauke is uncorked as Work and Pensions Secretary. Truss replaces him as Treasury Chief Secretary. Leadsom is the new Leader of the House.
The former MP for Croydon Central will be a calming presence after the turbulent departure of Timothy and Hill.
Davidson should have a standing invite to attend Political Cabinet, and be encouraged to speak her mind – on Brexit, the DUP and anything else.
First Timothy quits as May’s co-Chief of Staff. Now Hill, the other co-Chief of Staff, has gone too.
Those who are left of party centre are breaking cover to attack ‘Mayism’, whilst Brexiteers seem to be rallying around the Prime Minister.
And all this, remember, is on the assumption that she somehow gains a working majority, or is Prime Minister in a hung Parliament.
Theresa May’s philosophy has no cadre of committed supporters amongst the membership, MPs, or think tanks. It may thus prove short-lived.
Oh, and Timothy and Hill should be moved on from being co-Chiefs of Staff – the former to head up policy, the latter press.
The former fear that it will revive what they believe are business-unfriendly ideas about foreign takeovers and workers on boards.
That’s the head of the Downing Street Policy Unit, the Chair of May’s Policy Board, the most important Minister you’ve never heard of…and our former columnist.
His great achievement two years ago was to sever the head off the Liberal Democrat snake – and most of the body too. Now he must defang it again.
The Education Secretary is grappling with reform of the national funding formula for schools at a time when spending on them is under pressure.
The core of their beliefs is that elite expertise is preferred and believed superior to messier concepts such as the market or democracy.