Lavish campaign spending does not guarantee electoral success. If it did, Brexit wouldn’t be happening. And Theresa May would now have a majority.
We are likely to get a deal with something for everyone – a ‘softish’ Brexit with May-style immigration controls. But the longer-term offers great opportunities.
But in his new book, he does not quite explain why she has remained Prime Minister.
A small proportion of those who voted Remain are simply unable to move on from the referendum result – and taking refuge in conspiracy theory.
I have long been struck by the incredible stresses placed upon them by a system that is meticulous in its oppression across so many of the European institutions.
May needs to demonstrate that Whitehall is prepared – deal or no deal. Crossing one’s fingers and hoping for transition is not an alternative, or shouldn’t be.
Britain could flourish under the minimalist WTO-type settlement that seems to be his bottom line. But it is not the optimal outcome, and threatens a significant downside.
May should make a virtue of the complexity.
The most ominous portent for a second poll is that the No campaign has collapsed. It needs rebooting urgently.
The recently departed Prime Minister is re-emerging – and working on his memoirs. He will want to project his greatest achievement: public service reform.
Almost six months on from the EU referendum, we present a mini-series on five people who helped to shape the result.
It’s hard to imagine Conservative MEPs behaving the same way – Charles Tannock, for example, clocking, say, Geoffrey Van Orden.
The group wants a Hard Brexit. Either way, the Government should move Article 50 before next spring is over.
He represents a proudly provincial conservatism, in which the condition of the striving classes, and of the industries on which they depend, matter a hundred times more than the City of London.
A tale of fatal misunderstandings, tensions and deep differences – and of a potential cycle of grievance which all the leadership candidates must stop before it starts.